219
FXUS64 KFWD 300425
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1125 PM CDT Sun Sep 29 2024

...New Short Term, Aviation...

.SHORT TERM... /NEW/
/Through Tuesday/

Warm and rain-free weather will prevail to begin the workweek.
Highs will climb into the upper 80s and lower 90s today, while a
diffuse surface pattern results in nearly calm winds. These light
winds and the fairly dry dewpoints still in place will continue
to promote large diurnal temperature ranges, with morning lows in
the 50s and lower 60s. A cold front will move southward into parts
of North Texas on Tuesday, although this feature would be more
adequately described as a surface trough axis given the lack of
any appreciable thermodynamic contrast to accompany its wind
shift. Another afternoon of above normal highs near 90 degrees
will be the result, while slightly more robust northerly wind
fields reinforce the dry airmass already in place.

-Stalley

&&

.LONG TERM... /Issued 359 PM CDT Sun Sep 29 2024/
/Tuesday Through Next Weekend/

Abundant sunshine and above normal daytime temperatures will
prevail into the opening days of October. The dry spell will also
continue with no rain chances through the first weekend of the new
month.

Early in the week, Texas will remain sandwiched between ridging in
the West and troughing in the East. This northerly flow will
provide another reinforcing shot of continental air on Tuesday,
but sunny skies and low humidity should assure that afternoon
temperatures match Monday`s values. Thereafter, the persistent
upper low over the eastern states will steadily weaken, eventually
opening and sliding off the East Coast. This will allow late-
season ridging to invade from the west. High temperatures will
continue to reach the upper 80s and lower 90s, but multiple days
of southerly winds will increase the humidity. Extended guidance
continues to advertise a weakness aloft late in the week, but this
may be overshadowed by a tropical system in the Gulf.

25

&&

.AVIATION... /NEW/
/06z TAFs/

VFR and mostly SKC conditions will prevail today and tonight.
Winds will be light and variable around 5 kts or less, although
the predominant direction should be north/northwest for the
majority of the TAF period.

-Stalley

&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    62  90  67  91  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
Waco                61  92  64  93  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
Paris               58  89  62  91  63 /   0   0   0   0   0
Denton              59  92  62  91  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
McKinney            61  91  63  92  63 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dallas              62  92  66  93  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
Terrell             61  91  64  91  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           63  92  65  93  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
Temple              62  94  63  94  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       56  92  62  92  60 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$