Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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144
FXUS64 KFWD 081030
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
530 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025

...New Aviation...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Isolated rain showers are possible east of I-35 today with
  coverage of 10% or less.

- Warm and mostly dry weather will continue into next week with
  temperatures 5 to 10 degrees above normal.

&&

.SHORT TERM... /Issued 1237 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025/
/Through Tonight/

A stalled frontal boundary draped through the forecast area from
southwest to northeast may support additional diurnally driven
rain shower activity this afternoon with coverage of 10% or less,
and this will be most likely across East Texas where pooled
moisture remains. Otherwise, the presence of anomalously strong
mid-level heights will maintain above normal temperatures with
highs in the upper 80s to mid 90s.

-Stalley

&&

.LONG TERM... /Issued 1237 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025/
/Thursday Onward/

Low-level wind fields return to ESE during the second half of the
workweek which will result in a fetch of drier air and lower
dewpoints, so despite persistent above normal temperatures, low
humidity will result in fairly pleasant conditions with overnight
lows still falling into the 60s and even upper 50s. Lower RH may
result in an uptick in wildfire activity heading into the
weekend, especially given the recent dry spell and increasingly
available cured fuels. Southern plains ridging will prevail into
next week with rain chances remaining below 10% through the entire
extended forecast period. There is no sign of a significant
pattern change in the next ~10 days.

-Stalley

&&

.AVIATION... /NEW/
/12z TAFs/

VFR will prevail through the period while a cirrus canopy thickens
overhead. Expect northeast winds around 5-10 kts with a few
daytime gusts to 15 kts. A few rain showers are possible east of
D10 this afternoon, but no precip is forecast at any of the TAF
sites themselves.

-Stalley

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    90  67  88  61  87 /   5   5   0   0   0
Waco                92  67  89  60  87 /   5   5   0   0   0
Paris               87  60  84  55  84 /  10   5   0   0   0
Denton              88  62  87  55  86 /   5   5   0   0   0
McKinney            89  63  87  56  86 /   5   5   0   0   0
Dallas              91  67  89  62  88 /   5   5   0   0   0
Terrell             90  62  87  55  86 /  10   5   0   0   0
Corsicana           92  66  89  59  88 /  10   5   0   0   0
Temple              92  65  90  59  88 /   5   5   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       90  63  90  58  90 /   5   5   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$