Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
872 FXUS64 KFWD 131055 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 555 AM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025 ...New Aviation... .KEY MESSAGES... - Warm and rain-free weather will continue through much of this week, with a low chance for storms returning on Saturday. && .SHORT TERM... /Issued 100 AM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025/ /Through Tuesday Night/ Although ridging remains in control across North and Central Texas, an elongated shortwave is making its way across West Texas and Oklahoma at this time. Although a few showers are ongoing in the aforementioned area, we`ll remain precipitation-free as subsident air continues overhead. We`ll continue to see passing high clouds through the morning before skies begin to clear out this afternoon. Above normal temperatures will continue with highs reaching the upper 80s to around 90 degrees. Overnight lows will range from the upper 50s to lower 60s. Winds today will be from the southeast with speeds below 10 mph. Hernandez && .LONG TERM... /Issued 100 AM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025/ /Wednesday Onward/ As the shortwave mentioned in the short-term discussion moves away from the region, high pressure will once again become centered atop North and Central Texas. This will continue to yield above normal temperatures and precipitation-free conditions. Temperature variability will be minimal from Tuesday through Saturday with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s and morning temperatures in the upper 50s to mid 60s. A pattern change will be arriving late this weekend into early next week, however, guidance continues to diverge on the exact impacts to our region. The majority of the ensemble members show a cold front arriving Sunday or Monday with low rain chances across the region. Cooler temperatures are looking likely next week as we move into a slightly more active weather pattern. Hernandez && .AVIATION... /NEW/ /12z TAFs/ South to southerly winds will continue through the day with speeds AOB 10 kts. High clouds continue to stream in from the west, however, impact to area airports are not expected. Winds will gradually back overnight with more easterly winds after midnight at all North and Central Texas TAF sites. Given the generally light winds, this wind shift should pose no major impacts. Hernandez && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 89 66 88 64 88 / 0 5 0 0 0 Waco 88 61 88 61 88 / 0 0 0 0 0 Paris 88 62 88 61 86 / 0 0 0 0 0 Denton 88 61 88 59 87 / 0 5 0 0 0 McKinney 88 62 88 60 88 / 0 5 0 0 0 Dallas 90 67 90 65 89 / 0 5 0 0 0 Terrell 88 61 89 59 88 / 0 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 90 63 90 61 90 / 0 0 0 0 0 Temple 88 60 88 58 88 / 0 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 90 61 90 58 90 / 0 5 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$