Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
630 FXUS64 KFWD 121738 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1238 PM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025 ...New Short Term, Long Term, Aviation... .KEY MESSAGES... - An elevated grass fire threat will be present for areas near and west of I-35 today. - Warm and rain-free weather will continue through much of this week, with a low chance for storms returning next Saturday. && .SHORT TERM... /NEW/ /Through Monday Night/ Above normal temperatures will persist today and Monday as we remain beneath a stout upper level ridge. A surface low near the Texas/Oklahoma panhandles will tighten the pressure gradient across portions of North and Central Texas, resulting in breezy winds southerly winds through the afternoon. The breezy winds combined with with dry fuels, above normal temperatures, and low humidity, will result in an elevated threat for grassfires west of the I-35 corridor through the afternoon. Ensure you avoid any activities that may start wildfires. Otherwise, afternoon highs will mostly be in the mid 80s to low 90s with morning lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Barnes && .LONG TERM... /NEW/ /Tuesday Onward/ There will be no significant change to our weather pattern for much of the upcoming week, with above normal temperatures expected to continue. Afternoon highs will be in the mid 80s to low 90s each day with morning lows in the upper 50s and 60s. A pattern change may begin to transpire as we head into next weekend as a trough swings across the Central CONUS, potentially shunting the upper level ridge off to our east/southeast. This could open the door to storm chances next weekend, which may also be accompanied by some slightly cooler weather. Barnes && .AVIATION... /NEW/ /18Z TAFs/ VFR will continue through the period. Southerly winds will be a little breezy this afternoon, with wind speeds between 10-15 knots and gusts between 20-25 knots. Winds will decrease by 23-00Z this evening, remaining AOB 10 knots through Monday. No major aviation concerns are expected. Barnes && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 91 69 89 67 89 / 0 5 0 0 0 Waco 89 64 88 62 88 / 0 0 0 0 0 Paris 89 63 88 61 87 / 0 5 0 0 0 Denton 90 65 89 61 88 / 0 5 0 0 0 McKinney 91 65 89 62 89 / 0 5 0 0 0 Dallas 91 69 90 68 90 / 0 5 0 0 0 Terrell 90 63 89 61 89 / 0 5 0 0 0 Corsicana 91 65 90 64 90 / 0 0 0 0 0 Temple 90 61 88 60 88 / 0 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 92 64 90 62 90 / 5 5 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$