527
FNUS75 KFGZ 171315
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Horseshoe Maxwell...USFS Flagstaff Ranger District, Coconino
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
615 AM MST Thu Apr 17 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 MST on April 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MST
THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...It will be dry today with increasing clouds late
afternoon. Winds will start SW 10 mph but quickly increase to SW
15-20 mph, gusts 30-35 mph after 8 to 9am. Min RH values will be
between 25-30%.  Snow showers move in overnight, becoming likely
between 2 and 5am. RH values recover to between 90-100% by
morning. Overnight winds SW-W 10-15 mph. Snow showers likely with
embedded thunderstorms also a possibility throughout the day
Friday. Snow may accumulate at times up to an inch but will likely
melt quickly in between values. Precipitation amounts will be
between 0.25" and 0.50". Min RH values will only drop to 50-55% by
late afternoon. Winds pick back up between 8 and 10am, SW-W
15-20mph, gusts 25-30mph, gusty and more erratic near
thunderstorms. The wind likely won`t calm down until between
7-9pm, becoming W-NW 5-10mph.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....53-57.
Min humidity........25-30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......2496.
Mixing height.......7600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 knots increasing to around
                    30 knots in the afternoon.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of snow showers in
                    the evening, then snow showers overnight.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....25-30.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 35
                    mph early in the evening.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......17.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 knots decreasing to 10 to 15
                    knots overnight.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Snow showers and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....40-45.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......1646.
Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 knots.

A weather forecast table for your SPOT location is linked.
The information provided by this site is for planning purposes only
and is not intended to substitute information provided by an official
National Weather Service SPOT forecast.
https://www.weather.gov/dlh/fwd?lat=35.2752&lon=-111.8286&clat=35.2752&clon=-111.8286

$$
Forecaster...BERNHART
Requested by...Chris Ives
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2510566.1/FGZ
.DELDT 04/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ryan.rawlinson@usda.gov,Steven.knight@usda.gov