825
FNUS75 KFGZ 030120
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Carr Fire...USDA Forest Service
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
620 PM MST Wed Jul 2 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 MST on July 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Cloudy with rain showers and thunderstorms likely
this evening, with continued shower chances overnight. A 40-60%
chance of showers and thunderstorms throughout the day on
Thursday. Shower and thunderstorm chances end by midnight
Thursday. Mostly dry on Independence Day but there is a 20% chance
of a shower or thunderstorm between 11am and 5pm.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and chance of
                    thunderstorms in the evening, then rain showers
                    likely and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    overnight.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....48-52 top elevations, 65-69 low elevations.
Max humidity........100% top elevations, 65-70% low elevations.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds SW-W 5 mph shifting N-NE 5 mph around
                    midnight. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......10.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 knots.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and chance
                    of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....72-75 top elevations, 80-85 low elevations.
Min humidity........38-42% top elevations, 30-34% low elevations.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds SW 5-10 mph starting 7-8am.
                    Turning W 10-15 mph starting 2-3pm.
                    Gusty and erratic winds near thunderstorms.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......1172.
Mixing height.......9100 ft AGL in the morning and early afternoon
                    increasing to 10800 ft AGL late in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 knots.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly clear.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
                    evening.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....48-52 top elevations, 68-72 low elevations.
Max humidity........80-85% top elevations, 50-55% low elevations.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds W-5 mph after 8pm. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    evening.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......5.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 knots.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....73-77 top elevations, 83-86 low elevations.
Min humidity........25-30% high elevations, 20-25% low elevations.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds SW 5-10 mph after 9am, increasing to SW 10-15 mph
                    after 1 to 2pm . Gusty and erratic winds near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......1101.
Mixing height.......9200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 knots.

A weather forecast table for your SPOT location is linked.
The information provided by this site is for planning purposes only
and is not intended to substitute information provided by an official
National Weather Service SPOT forecast.
https://www.weather.gov/dlh/fwd?lat=33.8157&lon=-110.963&clat=33.8157&clon=-110.963

$$
Forecaster...BERNHART
Requested by...Kyle Fogarty
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517172.0/FGZ
.DELDT 07/02/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kyle.fogarty@usda.gov