737
FNUS75 KFGZ 120016
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Lucy Canyon Fire...BIA
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
516 PM MST Fri Jul 11 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MST on July 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Hot and mostly dry conditions will continue through
the weekend. Chances for showers and thunderstorms expected over the
weekend with storms developing mainly after 10 AM-11 AM each day.
Cloud-to-ground lightning and erratic/gusty outflow winds are the primary
concerns near any storm. Minimum RH values will be between 10-20 percent
each day with fair to good overnight recoveries in the 50-60 percent
range. Expect mainly west to southwest winds around 5-15 mph with gusts
up to 20 mph during the day, becoming terrain-driven overnight.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms after 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent after 11 AM.
Max temperature.....88 to 92.
Min humidity........15 to 20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light southerly winds around 5 mph, shifting to the
                    west-southwest around 5 to 10 mph after 10 AM. Gusty
                    and erratic outflow winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......1893.
Mixing height.......10000 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 14400
                    ft AGL late in the morning.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 knots increasing to around 15
                    knots late in the afternoon.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear with areas of smoke in the evening.
                    Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before
                    9 PM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent before 9 PM.
Min temperature.....60 to 62.
Max humidity........50 to 60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West to southwest winds around 5 to 10 mph, becoming
                    light southerly winds around 5 mph after 9 PM. Gusty
                    and erratic outflow winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the evening.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......2.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 knots shifting to the south
                    overnight.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms after 10 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent after 10 AM.
Max temperature.....91 to 95.
Min humidity........10 to 15 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light southerly winds around 5 mph, shifting to the
                    west around 5 to 10 mph after 10 AM. Gusty and
                    erratic outflow winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......2303.
Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL early in the morning increasing to
                    17800 ft AGL in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 knots shifting to the north
                    in the late morning and afternoon.

A weather forecast table for your SPOT location is linked.
The information provided by this site is for planning purposes only
and is not intended to substitute information provided by an official
National Weather Service SPOT forecast.
https://www.weather.gov/dlh/fwd?lat=34.0791&lon=-110.0826&clat=34.0791&clon=-110.0826

$$
Forecaster...MEOLA
Requested by...TF-18
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517454.5/FGZ
.DELDT 07/11/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL azsdc@firenet.gov