858
FNUS75 KFGZ 241244
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Nelson...US Forest Service
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
544 AM MST Sun Aug 24 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MST on August 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Partly cloudy skies will kick off this morning, which will
slightly delay the start of afternoon convection. Expect the first storms to begin firing
up around 1200 MST (noon) and continue through at least 2000 MST this evening. We cannot
completely rule out a stray shower overnight, but impacts should be minimal. Main
hazards expected from storm development will be gusty/erratic winds, small hail,
frequent lightning, and heavy rainfall. Chances for showers/storms will increase
through the beginning of the week. The best chance for a break in monsoon activity
will be towards the end of the week (Thursday and Friday).

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny then increasing cloud cover throughout the day. Slight chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms throughout the day.
Chance of pcpn......30-40 percent between 1100-1700 MST.
Max temperature.....85-90 degrees.
Min humidity........24-28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5-10 mph shifting to the
                    southwest by 1300 MST and becoming more westerly
                    throughout the day. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Max Vent Rate.......Good.
Clearing Index......658.
Mixing height.......10200 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 13000
                    ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots shifting to the south
                    in the afternoon.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
                    evening, then slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of pcpn......30-40 percent between 1700-2300 MST. Light showers
                    could continue overnight as well.
Min temperature.....65-70 degrees.
Max humidity........56-60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5-10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......5.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 knots shifting to the north
                    in the late evening and overnight.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny with increasing cloud cover throughout the day.
                    Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......55-70 percent between 1100-1700 MST.
Max temperature.....85-90 degrees.
Min humidity........26-32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon 5-10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Max Vent Rate.......Very good.
Clearing Index......882.
Mixing height.......10000 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 11800
                    ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 5 knots shifting to the southwest
                    late in the afternoon.

A weather forecast table for your SPOT location is linked.
The information provided by this site is for planning purposes only
and is not intended to substitute information provided by an official
National Weather Service SPOT forecast.
https://www.weather.gov/dlh/fwd?lat=34.2912&lon=-111.8288&clat=34.2912&clon=-111.8288

$$
Forecaster...KONIECZNY
Requested by...Prescott Dispatch
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2520563.0/FGZ
.DELDT 08/24/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL azpdc@firenet.gov