Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
306
FNUS55 KFGZ 160845
FWFFGZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Arizona
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
145 AM MST Fri May 16 2025
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST ARIZONA...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
THE LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY...
+++ Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds +++
+++ 20-foot wind forecast of `light winds` indicates mainly
terrain driven winds +++
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...Today through Saturday...Dry conditions will
continue with minimum RH values mostly below 15%. Southwest to west
afternoon winds 10 to 20 mph today. Southwest winds increase on
Saturday to 15-25 mph gusting 30-40 mph. Critical fire weather
possible Saturday in the Little Colorado River Valley and White
Mountains where a Fire Weather Watch is in effect.
Sunday through Tuesday...Windy and cooler Sunday and Monday. A 20-
40% chance of showers north of I-40 Sunday and over most of northern
Arizona Monday. Southwest winds 15-25 mph gusting 30-40 mph on
Sunday, then west-northwest 10-20 mph on Monday. Critical fire
weather possible Sunday in the eastern Little Colorado River Valley
where a Fire Weather Watch is in effect. Warmer, less wind, and
drier on Tuesday.
AZZ115-170115-
Western Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 115)-
Including the cities of Flagstaff, Williams, and Munds Park
145 AM MST Fri May 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....66-76.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........9-14 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL increasing to 9500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 knots increasing to around
15 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....28-38.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........48-68 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....63-73.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........12-17 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with gusts up to
20 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph with gusts up
to 35 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph increasing to 30 to 40
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL increasing to 7300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 15 knots increasing to around 30
knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 57 to 67. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with
gusts up to 30 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers, thunderstorms
and snow showers. Highs 53 to 63. West winds 10 to 15 mph with
gusts up to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Highs 64 to 74. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ106-170115-
Grand Canyon Country (Fire Weather Zone 106)-
Including the cities of Grand Canyon Village, Supai,
and North Rim
145 AM MST Fri May 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....79-86 at the River...66-76 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........8 percent at the River...11 percent at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL increasing to 10800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 knots increasing to around
15 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....44-54 at the River...29-39 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........29-39 percent at the River...38-58 percent at
the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Patchy blowing dust in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....78-87 at the River...65-75 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........10 percent at the River...12-17 percent at the
Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph with gusts up to 20
mph shifting to the southwest 15 to 20 mph with
gusts up to 35 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph increasing to 30 to 40
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL increasing to 9200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots increasing to around
30 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 66 to 76. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 64 to 74. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Highs 76 to 86. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ108-170115-
Yavapai County Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 108)-
Including the cities of Prescott, Seligman, Ash Fork,
and Crown King
145 AM MST Fri May 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 74 below 5000 feet...around 69 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........11 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL increasing to 8200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 52 below 5000 feet...around 49 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........29-49 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 71 below 5000 feet...around 67 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........12-17 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph with gusts up to 20
mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to
35 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph increasing to 30 to 40 mph
in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL increasing to 7100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 15 knots increasing to around 25
knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 61 to 70. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 61 to 70. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Gusts up to 30 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Highs 71 to 80. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ137-170115-
Yavapai County Valleys and Basins (Fire Weather Zone 137)-
Including the cities of Cottonwood, Camp Verde, Cordes Junction,
and Bagdad
145 AM MST Fri May 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....78-88.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........10 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....46-56.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........33-43 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....76-86.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........12 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph increasing to 15 to
20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........South 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 71 to 81. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 74 to 84. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Gusts up to 20 mph increasing to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Highs 80 to 90. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph
shifting to the northwest in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ138-170115-
Oak Creek and Sycamore Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 138)-
Including the cities of Sedona and Village of Oak Creek
145 AM MST Fri May 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....71-81.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........11 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....45-55 below 5000 feet...37-47 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........26-36 percent below 5000 feet...38-48 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....68-78.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........11-16 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph increasing to 15 to
20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph increasing to 30 to 40 mph
in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 62 to 72. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 61 to 71. West winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 20 mph increasing to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Highs 72 to 82. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ105-170115-
Marble and Glen Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 105)-
Including the cities of Page and Lees Ferry
145 AM MST Fri May 16 2025 /245 AM MDT Fri May 16 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....76-83.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........7-12 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Min temperature.....46-56.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........25-35 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....75-83.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........12 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25
mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph increasing to 25 to 35
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 66 to 74. West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 63 to 71. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Highs 73 to 81. North winds 10 to 15 mph early
in the morning becoming light.
$$
AZZ104-170115-
Kaibab Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 104)-
Including the cities of Jacob Lake and Fredonia
145 AM MST Fri May 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....69-79 below 7000 feet...60-69 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........10 percent below 7000 feet...14 percent above
7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Min temperature.....38-48 below 7000 feet...27-37 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........30-40 percent below 7000 feet...43-63 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....68-78 below 7000 feet...59-69 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........14 percent below 7000 feet...16-21 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 20
mph increasing to 35 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph increasing to 30 to 40
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers, thunderstorms and
snow showers. Highs 59 to 69. West winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up
to 30 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers, thunderstorms
and snow showers. Highs 57 to 67. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Highs 69 to 79. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ107-170115-
Coconino Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 107)-
Including the city of Valle
145 AM MST Fri May 16 2025 /245 AM MDT Fri May 16 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....69-76 on the Plateau...81-89 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........10 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20
mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....32-42 on the Plateau...45-55 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........39-59 percent on the Plateau...26-36 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Patchy blowing dust in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....67-74 on the Plateau...80-87 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. South winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to
the southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35
mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 60 to 70. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Gusts up to 25 mph increasing to 30 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 58 to 68. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Highs 69 to 79. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ109-170115-
Northeast Plateau And Mesas Hwy 264 Northward (Fire Weather Zone
109)-
Including the cities of Keams Canyon and Kaibito
145 AM MST Fri May 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....71-78.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........9 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....40-50.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........30-40 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Patchy blowing dust in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....71-78.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........11 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph
in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph increasing to 25 to 35
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 62 to 70. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to
30 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 56 to 64. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Highs 68 to 76. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ140-170115-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264 (Fire Weather Zone
140)-
Including the cities of Dilkon and Kykotsmovi
145 AM MST Fri May 16 2025 /245 AM MDT Fri May 16 2025/
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....72-79.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........8 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Areas of smoke.
Min temperature.....39-45.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........28-38 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Patchy blowing dust in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....73-79.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........9 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph
in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Patchy blowing dust. Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Highs 65 to 72. Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 58 to 66. West winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
increasing to 30 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Highs 70 to 77. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ110-170115-
Chinle Valley (Fire Weather Zone 110)-
Including the cities of Canyon De Chelly, Chinle, and Kayenta
245 AM MDT Fri May 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....72-79.
24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........9 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....40-48.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........29-39 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....72-80.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........10 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 30
mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph increasing to 25 to 35
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Patchy blowing dust. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 64 to 71. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to
30 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 56 to 64. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
increasing to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 68 to 74. Northwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
$$
AZZ111-170115-
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 111)-
Including the cities of Window Rock and Ganado
145 AM MST Fri May 16 2025 /245 AM MDT Fri May 16 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....65-75.
24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........9 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL increasing to 9300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Areas of smoke after midnight.
Min temperature.....35-44.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........32-42 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....66-76.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........10 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph increasing to 15
to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph increasing to 25 to 35
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL increasing to 10000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots increasing to around
25 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Patchy blowing dust. Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Highs 59 to 69. Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers, thunderstorms and
snow showers. Highs 51 to 61. West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts
up to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 63 to 73. Northwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
$$
AZZ139-170115-
Black Mesa Area (Fire Weather Zone 139)-
145 AM MST Fri May 16 2025 /245 AM MDT Fri May 16 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....66-74.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........9 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20
mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....38-48.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........30-40 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....67-74.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........11 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with gusts up to
20 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph with gusts up
to 35 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph increasing to 30 to 40
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Patchy blowing dust. Slight
chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 58 to 66. Southwest
winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers, thunderstorms and
snow showers. Highs 51 to 59. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts
up to 30 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 63 to 71. North winds 10 to
15 mph.
$$
AZZ112-170115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County (Fire Weather
Zone 112)-
Including the cities of Wupatki N.M. and Tuba City
145 AM MST Fri May 16 2025 /245 AM MDT Fri May 16 2025/
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....75-83.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........8 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....41-48.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........30-40 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Patchy blowing dust in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....73-83.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........10 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph
in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph increasing to 25 to 35
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Patchy blowing dust. Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Highs 66 to 75. Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 62 to 69. West winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 25 mph increasing to 30 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Highs 72 to 81. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ113-170115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County (Fire Weather Zone
113)-
Including the cities of Winslow, Holbrook, and Snowflake
145 AM MST Fri May 16 2025 /245 AM MDT Fri May 16 2025/
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....75-82.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........8 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL increasing to 11500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Areas of smoke in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 43.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........31 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Patchy blowing dust in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....73-81.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........9 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph
in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph increasing to 30 to 40
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL increasing to 9600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots increasing to around
25 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Breezy. Mostly clear. Patchy blowing dust. Highs 67 to
74. Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 61 to 68. West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts
up to 30 mph shifting to the northwest 15 to 20 mph with gusts up
to 35 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Highs 72 to 79. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ114-170115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County (Fire Weather Zone
114)-
Including the cities of St. Johns and Springerville
145 AM MST Fri May 16 2025
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....72-79.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........8 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west 10 to 15 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph increasing to southwest 15 to
25 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Areas of smoke after midnight.
Min temperature.....38-43.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........22-32 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Patchy blowing dust in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....70-79.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........9 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph increasing to 15
to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Breezy. Mostly clear. Patchy blowing dust. Highs 64 to
72. Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Patchy blowing dust. Chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Highs 59 to 66. West winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts
up to 30 mph increasing to 40 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Highs 69 to 75. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ116-170115-
Eastern Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 116)-
Including the cities of Heber, Happy Jack, and Forest Lakes
145 AM MST Fri May 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....71-79 below 5000 feet...66-76 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........8-13 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....36-45.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........36-46 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....68-76 below 5000 feet...64-74 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........10-15 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph
in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph increasing to 30 to 40
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 58 to 68. Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 56 to 66. West winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 30 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Highs 66 to 76. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ117-170115-
White Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 117)-
Including the cities of Show Low, Greer, and Pinetop
145 AM MST Fri May 16 2025
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny. Areas of smoke in the morning.
Max temperature.....68-77 below 7000 feet...62-72 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........8 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL increasing to 9900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 5 knots increasing to southwest
around 15 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....40-45 below 7000 feet...30-40 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........23-33 percent below 7000 feet...34-44 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....68-75 below 7000 feet...60-70 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........8-13 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 35
mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph increasing to 25 to 35
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL increasing to 9000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots increasing to around
20 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 60 to 70. Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers, thunderstorms
and snow showers. Highs 58 to 68. West winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts
up to 25 mph increasing to 30 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Highs 67 to 77. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ118-170115-
Northern Gila County (Fire Weather Zone 118)-
Including the cities of Payson, Strawberry, and Young
145 AM MST Fri May 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....76-86 below 5000 feet...70-80 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........7-12 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....46-56 below 5000 feet...41-51 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........23-33 percent below 5000 feet...31-41 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....75-85 below 5000 feet...68-78 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........8-13 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph increasing to southwest 25
to 35 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 68 to 78. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 69 to 79. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Gusts up to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Highs 77 to 87. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
.6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK FOR MAY 21 - 25 2025...
Above normal temperatures and below normal precipitation.
=
$$
VENTILATION...Transport wind and mixing height are based
on the following points.
ZONE 115...Williams.......6750 FT MSL.
ZONE 106...Tusayan........6606 FT MSL.
ZONE 108...Prescott.......5052 FT MSL.
ZONE 111...Window Rock....6739 FT MSL.
ZONE 113...Winslow........4883 FT MSL.
ZONE 117...Whiteriver.....5225 FT MSL.
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria
established by each state.
$$