Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
106
FNUS55 KFGZ 082143
FWFFGZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Arizona
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
243 PM MST Wed Oct 8 2025
+++ Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds +++
+++ 20-foot wind forecast of `light winds` indicates mainly
terrain driven winds +++
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...Thursday and Friday... Widespread wetting rains,
with the highest accumulations expected in Yavapai and Coconino
counties. A Flood Watch will be in effect for most of northern
Arizona through the period. Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms
also possible. Winds are south through southeast 5-15 mph each day,
but gusty and erratic winds can be expected near
showers/thunderstorms.
Saturday through Monday...The Flood Watch continues Saturday, with
more widespread showers and thunderstorms. Storm coverage becomes
isolated to scattered on Sunday and Monday. Daytime winds southwest
5-15 mph each day, but gusty and erratic winds can be expected near
showers/thunderstorms.
AZZ115-090115-
Western Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 115)-
Including the cities of Flagstaff, Williams, and Munds Park
243 PM MST Wed Oct 8 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....71-81.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25
mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL increasing to 7700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of thunderstorms through the
night. Chance of rain showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....47-57.
24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........76-96 percent.
24 hr trend......36 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then rain showers
and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....60-69.
24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........53-63 percent.
24 hr trend......43 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Fair.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Highs
58 to 66. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the south in
the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 58 to 68. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
increasing to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 59 to 69. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
20 mph.
$$
AZZ106-090115-
Grand Canyon Country (Fire Weather Zone 106)-
Including the cities of Grand Canyon Village, Supai,
and North Rim
243 PM MST Wed Oct 8 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....86-96 at the River...72-82 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........11 percent at the River...12-17 percent at the
Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL increasing to 8700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 10 knots increasing to southwest
around 20 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
Min temperature.....57-64 at the River...47-56 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........50-70 percent at the River...63-83 percent at
the Rim.
24 hr trend......29 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then rain showers
and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....71-79 at the River...60-70 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........36-46 percent at the River...46-56 percent at
the Rim.
24 hr trend......35 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph decreasing to 10 to 20 mph
in the afternoon.
PoP.................80 percent.
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Marginal.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Highs
64 to 74. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 68 to 78. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then clearing.
Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs 68 to
78. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ108-090115-
Yavapai County Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 108)-
Including the cities of Prescott, Seligman, Ash Fork,
and Crown King
243 PM MST Wed Oct 8 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 79 below 5000 feet...around 74 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........11-16 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL increasing to 6900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
after midnight.
Min temperature.....54-64.
24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........69 percent below 5000 feet...72 percent above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......33 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning,
then rain showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 70 below 5000 feet...around 67 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........58 percent below 5000 feet...61 percent above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......36 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
20 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Fair.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Highs
65 to 72. East winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the southeast in
the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 60 to 70. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 63 to 72. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph.
$$
AZZ137-090115-
Yavapai County Valleys and Basins (Fire Weather Zone 137)-
Including the cities of Cottonwood, Camp Verde, Cordes Junction,
and Bagdad
243 PM MST Wed Oct 8 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....84-94.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........12-17 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
after midnight.
Min temperature.....57-67.
24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........62-82 percent.
24 hr trend......30 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning,
then rain showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....73-83.
24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........32-42 percent.
24 hr trend......31 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20
mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 72 to 82. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 69 to 79. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the
south with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 70 to 80. Light winds becoming south 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ138-090115-
Oak Creek and Sycamore Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 138)-
Including the cities of Sedona and Village of Oak Creek
243 PM MST Wed Oct 8 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....78-88.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
20 mph.
Free winds..........South 25 to 35 mph decreasing to 15 to 25 mph
in the afternoon.
PoP.................20 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms after midnight.
Min temperature.....59-65 below 5000 feet...55-64 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........52-72 percent below 5000 feet...63-83 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......37 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then rain showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....65-75.
24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........48-58 percent below 5000 feet...51-61 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......38 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 64 to 74. East winds 10 to 15 mph early in the morning
becoming light.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 61 to 71. South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs
64 to 74. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
$$
AZZ105-090115-
Marble and Glen Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 105)-
Including the cities of Page and Lees Ferry
243 PM MST Wed Oct 8 2025 /343 PM MDT Wed Oct 8 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....79-89.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
Min temperature.....55-63.
24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........50-70 percent.
24 hr trend......26 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and chance
of thunderstorms in the morning, then rain
showers and chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....68-76.
24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........35-45 percent.
24 hr trend......31 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Cloudy. Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 64 to 72. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 68 to 76. Light winds becoming south 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 67 to 76. West
winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the north in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ104-090115-
Kaibab Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 104)-
Including the cities of Jacob Lake and Fredonia
243 PM MST Wed Oct 8 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....75-84 below 7000 feet...68-77 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........9-14 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
Min temperature.....51-56 below 7000 feet...45-51 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........52-72 percent below 7000 feet...69-89 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......32 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then rain showers
and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....66-76 below 7000 feet...58-67 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........40-50 percent below 7000 feet...47-57 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......36 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Cloudy. Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 59 to 69. Light winds becoming southeast 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 61 to 71. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then clearing.
Slight chance of showers. Highs 59 to 69. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
$$
AZZ107-090115-
Coconino Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 107)-
Including the city of Valle
243 PM MST Wed Oct 8 2025 /343 PM MDT Wed Oct 8 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....75-83 on the Plateau...85-94 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........11-16 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
Min temperature.....49-57 on the Plateau...57-67 at the River.
24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........75-95 percent on the Plateau...53-73 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......34 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning,
then rain showers and chance of thunderstorms
in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....64-71 on the Plateau...73-83 at the River.
24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........43-53 percent on the Plateau...34-44 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......38 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Highs
60 to 70. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 62 to 72. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then clearing.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 63 to 72.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
$$
AZZ109-090115-
Northeast Plateau And Mesas Hwy 264 Northward (Fire Weather Zone
109)-
Including the cities of Keams Canyon and Kaibito
243 PM MST Wed Oct 8 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....76-83.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13-18 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
after midnight.
Min temperature.....53-60.
24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........66-86 percent.
24 hr trend......38 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then rain showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....66-73.
24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........44-54 percent.
24 hr trend......35 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Cloudy. Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 61 to 68. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 64 to 71. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 64 to 71. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ140-090115-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264 (Fire Weather Zone
140)-
Including the cities of Dilkon and Kykotsmovi
243 PM MST Wed Oct 8 2025 /343 PM MDT Wed Oct 8 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....77-85.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........14-19 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in
the evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms
through the night. Chance of rain showers after
midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........64-84 percent.
24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....68-73.
24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........40-50 percent.
24 hr trend......27 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 66 to 75. East winds 10 to 15 mph shifting
to the southwest in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 63 to 72. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then clearing.
Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs 65 to
73. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ110-090115-
Chinle Valley (Fire Weather Zone 110)-
Including the cities of Canyon De Chelly, Chinle, and Kayenta
343 PM MDT Wed Oct 8 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....77-84.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........14-19 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
through the night.
Min temperature.....53-58.
24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........70-90 percent.
24 hr trend......26 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the
morning. Chance of rain showers through the
day. Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....68-74.
24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........43-53 percent.
24 hr trend......32 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 64 to 70. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 64 to 72. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then clearing.
Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs 65 to
71. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ111-090115-
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 111)-
Including the cities of Window Rock and Ganado
243 PM MST Wed Oct 8 2025 /343 PM MDT Wed Oct 8 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....69-79.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........20-25 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20
mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL increasing to 6600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in
the evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms
through the night. Chance of rain showers after
midnight.
Min temperature.....48-55.
24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........76-96 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....63-73.
24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........39-49 percent.
24 hr trend......27 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 4700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 64 to 74. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 57 to 67. South winds 10 to 15 mph shifting
to the southwest with gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 58 to 68. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ139-090115-
Black Mesa Area (Fire Weather Zone 139)-
243 PM MST Wed Oct 8 2025 /343 PM MDT Wed Oct 8 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....72-78.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms after
midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........65-85 percent.
24 hr trend......34 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then rain showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....62-70.
24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-57 percent.
24 hr trend......35 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 59 to 68. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 60 to 66. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then clearing.
Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs 60 to
66. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ112-090115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County (Fire Weather
Zone 112)-
Including the cities of Wupatki N.M. and Tuba City
243 PM MST Wed Oct 8 2025 /343 PM MDT Wed Oct 8 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....79-88.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........12-17 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of thunderstorms through the
night. Chance of rain showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........69-89 percent.
24 hr trend......36 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning,
then rain showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....68-74.
24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........45-55 percent.
24 hr trend......35 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
20 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 65 to 71. Light winds becoming southeast around 10 mph in
the morning, then shifting to the south in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 67 to 76. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 25 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then clearing.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 68 to 76.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ113-090115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County (Fire Weather Zone
113)-
Including the cities of Winslow, Holbrook, and Snowflake
243 PM MST Wed Oct 8 2025 /343 PM MDT Wed Oct 8 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....79-87.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........16-21 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL increasing to 10300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of rain showers in the evening.
Slight chance of thunderstorms through the
night. Chance of rain showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........69-89 percent.
24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....69-74.
24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........41-51 percent.
24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
20 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 70 to 75. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph
shifting to the southwest with gusts up to 20 mph in the
afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 67 to 73. South winds 10 to 15 mph shifting
to the southwest with gusts up to 30 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 68 to 74. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ114-090115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County (Fire Weather Zone
114)-
Including the cities of St. Johns and Springerville
243 PM MST Wed Oct 8 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the morning, then chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 77 below 7000 feet...around 74 above
7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........21-31 percent.
24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph decreasing to 10 to 20
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................40 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening, then slight
chance of showers and thunderstorms after
midnight.
Min temperature.....52-58.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........82 percent below 7000 feet...85 percent above
7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....67-75.
24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........37-47 percent.
24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 70 to 77. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph
shifting to the southwest in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 65 to 71. South winds 10 to 15 mph shifting
to the southwest with gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 64 to 70. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ116-090115-
Eastern Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 116)-
Including the cities of Heber, Happy Jack, and Forest Lakes
243 PM MST Wed Oct 8 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers
through the day. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....77-84 below 5000 feet...72-80 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........24-34 percent.
24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25
mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of rain showers in the evening.
Slight chance of thunderstorms through the
night. Chance of rain showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....52-60.
24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........63-83 percent below 5000 feet...69-89 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20
mph.
Free winds..........South 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning,
then rain showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....67-73 below 5000 feet...63-69 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-59 percent below 5000 feet...55-65 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......30 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
20 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 65 to 75. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 58 to 68. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 20 mph increasing to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 58 to 68. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph.
$$
AZZ117-090115-
White Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 117)-
Including the cities of Show Low, Greer, and Pinetop
243 PM MST Wed Oct 8 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning.
Chance of rain showers through the day. Chance
of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....73-82 below 7000 feet...64-74 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........27-37 percent below 7000 feet...34-44 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL increasing to 8000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms through
the night. Slight chance of rain showers after
midnight.
Min temperature.....54-59 below 7000 feet...46-54 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........68-88 percent below 7000 feet...80-100 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
20 mph.
Free winds..........South 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....66-74 below 7000 feet...57-67 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........38-48 percent below 7000 feet...49-59 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
20 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL increasing to 6000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 66 to
76. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 59 to 69. South winds 10 to 15 mph with
gusts up to 25 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 57 to 67. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph.
$$
AZZ118-090115-
Northern Gila County (Fire Weather Zone 118)-
Including the cities of Payson, Strawberry, and Young
243 PM MST Wed Oct 8 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers
through the day. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....82-92 below 5000 feet...76-85 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........19-24 percent below 5000 feet...23-33 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
20 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph decreasing to 10 to 20 mph
in the afternoon.
PoP.................20 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of rain showers in the evening.
Slight chance of thunderstorms through the
night. Chance of rain showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....61-69 below 5000 feet...55-64 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........61-81 percent below 5000 feet...75-95 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
20 mph.
Free winds..........South 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....69-79 below 5000 feet...66-76 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........42-52 percent below 5000 feet...38-48 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......27 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
20 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 72 to 82. East winds 10 to 15 mph shifting
to the southeast in the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 64 to 74. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph
shifting to the south in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 65 to 75. Light winds becoming south 10 to 15 mph.
$$
.6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK FOR OCT 14 - 18 2025...
Above normal temperatures and above normal precipitation.
=
$$
VENTILATION...Transport wind and mixing height are based
on the following points.
ZONE 115...Williams.......6750 FT MSL.
ZONE 106...Tusayan........6606 FT MSL.
ZONE 108...Prescott.......5052 FT MSL.
ZONE 111...Window Rock....6739 FT MSL.
ZONE 113...Winslow........4883 FT MSL.
ZONE 117...Whiteriver.....5225 FT MSL.
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria
established by each state.
$$