Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
544
FNUS55 KFGZ 120836
FWFFGZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Arizona
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
136 AM MST Sun Oct 12 2025
+++ Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds +++
+++ 20-foot wind forecast of `light winds` indicates mainly
terrain driven winds +++
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...Today and Monday...Showers and thunderstorms remain
in the area both days, primarily south of I-40 on Sunday spreading
north through Navajo and Apache counties overnight into Monday.
Highest rainfall accumulations expected along/south of the eastern
Mogollon Rim throughout the period. Winds S-SW 5-10 mph on Sunday,
becoming 10-20 mph with gusts to 25-30 mph on Monday. Gusty and
erratic winds can be expected near showers/thunderstorms.
Tuesday through Thursday...Isolated showers and thunderstorms on
Tuesday, becoming cool and drier towards the end of the week.
Daytime highs 5-10 degrees below normal by Thursday. Winds southwest
through west 10-20 mph with gusts 25-35 mph Tuesday and Wednesday,
then west through northwest 5-15 mph on Thursday.
AZZ115-130115-
Western Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 115)-
Including the cities of Flagstaff, Williams, and Munds Park
136 AM MST Sun Oct 12 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....60-68.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........35-45 percent.
24 hr trend......31 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL increasing to 5900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
through the night.
Min temperature.....35-45.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........99 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....57-67.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........43-53 percent.
24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
increasing to 30 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 5000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 20 knots increasing to around 30
knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy early in the morning then
clearing. Slight chance of showers. Highs 56 to 66. South winds
10 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 55 to 65. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 52 to 61. Light winds becoming
north 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ106-130115-
Grand Canyon Country (Fire Weather Zone 106)-
Including the cities of Grand Canyon Village, Supai,
and North Rim
136 AM MST Sun Oct 12 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....72-82 at the River...57-67 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........27 percent at the River...30-40 percent at the
Rim.
24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 7500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 knots increasing to around
15 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....52-59 at the River...39-49 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........62-82 percent at the River...80-100 percent at
the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph after
midnight.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in
the morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms
through the day. Chance of rain showers in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....71-81 at the River...56-66 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........27-37 percent at the River...40-50 percent at
the Rim.
24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL increasing to 6200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 20 knots increasing to around 30
knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Breezy. Mostly clear. Highs 68 to 78. South winds
20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs 64 to 74. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Highs 62 to 72. Light winds becoming northwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ108-130115-
Yavapai County Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 108)-
Including the cities of Prescott, Seligman, Ash Fork,
and Crown King
136 AM MST Sun Oct 12 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Chance of rain showers in the
morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms through
the day.
Max temperature.....Around 66 below 5000 feet...around 61 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........67-77 percent below 5000 feet...80 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......24 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL increasing to 5500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
through the night.
Min temperature.....Around 59 below 5000 feet...around 56 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........98 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph increasing to 25 to 35 mph
after midnight.
PoP.................20 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....Around 61 below 5000 feet...around 57 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........82 percent below 5000 feet...86 percent above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 5100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 15 knots increasing to around 25
knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs
58 to 68. South winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 57 to 66. South winds 10 to
15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 58 to 66. North winds 10 to
15 mph early in the morning becoming light.
$$
AZZ137-130115-
Yavapai County Valleys and Basins (Fire Weather Zone 137)-
Including the cities of Cottonwood, Camp Verde, Cordes Junction,
and Bagdad
136 AM MST Sun Oct 12 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms through
the day.
Max temperature.....71-81.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........34-44 percent.
24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of thunderstorms through the
night. Chance of rain showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....48-58.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....67-77.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........44-54 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs 66 to
76. South winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 64 to 74. South winds 10 to
15 mph shifting to the southwest with gusts up to 20 mph in the
afternoon.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 65 to 75. North winds around
10 mph early in the morning becoming light.
$$
AZZ138-130115-
Oak Creek and Sycamore Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 138)-
Including the cities of Sedona and Village of Oak Creek
136 AM MST Sun Oct 12 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms through
the day. Slight chance of rain showers in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....66-76.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........41-51 percent.
24 hr trend......28 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
through the night. Chance of rain showers after
midnight.
Min temperature.....53-58 below 5000 feet...48-57 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph increasing to 25 to 35
mph after midnight.
PoP.................30 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....61-71.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........57-67 percent.
24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then clearing.
Highs 61 to 71. South winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 60 to 70. South winds 10 to
15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph increasing to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 59 to 69. North winds 10 to
15 mph early in the morning becoming light.
$$
AZZ105-130115-
Marble and Glen Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 105)-
Including the cities of Page and Lees Ferry
136 AM MST Sun Oct 12 2025 /236 AM MDT Sun Oct 12 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....65-75.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........26-36 percent.
24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph becoming south 5 to 15 mph in
the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....48-56.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........61-81 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in
the morning, then chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....67-77.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........32-42 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 67 to 77. South winds 10 to
15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph increasing to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 63 to 73. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 59 to 69. Light winds.
$$
AZZ104-130115-
Kaibab Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 104)-
Including the cities of Jacob Lake and Fredonia
136 AM MST Sun Oct 12 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....61-70 below 7000 feet...56-62 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........27-37 percent below 7000 feet...33-43 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....40-49 below 7000 feet...35-42 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in
the morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms
through the day. Chance of rain showers in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....63-72 below 7000 feet...54-64 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........32-42 percent below 7000 feet...38-48 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 59 to 69. South winds 15 to
20 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs 54 to 64. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 51 to 61. Northwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
$$
AZZ107-130115-
Coconino Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 107)-
Including the city of Valle
136 AM MST Sun Oct 12 2025 /236 AM MDT Sun Oct 12 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....63-71 on the Plateau...72-82 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........27-37 percent on the Plateau...21-31 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......30 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....41-50 on the Plateau...50-60 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent on the Plateau...66-86 percent
at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in
the morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms
through the day. Chance of rain showers in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....62-68 on the Plateau...72-82 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........38-48 percent on the Plateau...26-36 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Breezy. Mostly clear. Highs 60 to 69. South winds
10 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 56 to 65. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 55 to 65. Light winds becoming
north around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ109-130115-
Northeast Plateau And Mesas Hwy 264 Northward (Fire Weather Zone
109)-
Including the cities of Keams Canyon and Kaibito
136 AM MST Sun Oct 12 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....61-69.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........32-42 percent.
24 hr trend......22 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph in the morning
becoming light.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Min temperature.....45-51.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Chance of rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....63-71.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........41-51 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 63 to 71. South winds 15 to
20 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 60 to 68. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 55 to 62. Light winds becoming
northwest 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ140-130115-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264 (Fire Weather Zone
140)-
Including the cities of Dilkon and Kykotsmovi
136 AM MST Sun Oct 12 2025 /236 AM MDT Sun Oct 12 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....64-71.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........36-46 percent.
24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph in the morning
becoming light.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph becoming southwest 5 to 15
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................20 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms after
midnight.
Min temperature.....46-51.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........99 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....64-72.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........39-49 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
increasing to 30 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then clearing.
Highs 65 to 72. South winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
increasing to 35 mph in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 64 to 71. South winds 10 to
15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 57 to 64. Light winds becoming
northwest 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ110-130115-
Chinle Valley (Fire Weather Zone 110)-
Including the cities of Canyon De Chelly, Chinle, and Kayenta
236 AM MDT Sun Oct 12 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....63-68.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........36-46 percent.
24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph in the morning
becoming light.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph shifting to the southwest 5
to 15 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................20 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
Min temperature.....44-50.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph after
midnight.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph increasing to 25 to 35 mph
after midnight.
PoP.................10 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....64-71.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........46-56 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then clearing.
Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs 66 to
72. South winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 64 to 70. South winds 15 to
20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 56 to 62. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ111-130115-
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 111)-
Including the cities of Window Rock and Ganado
136 AM MST Sun Oct 12 2025 /236 AM MDT Sun Oct 12 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....57-67.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........42-52 percent.
24 hr trend......26 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph in the morning
becoming light.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL increasing to 6300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
through the night. Chance of rain showers after
midnight.
Min temperature.....42-50.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph after
midnight.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph increasing to southwest 25
to 35 mph after midnight.
PoP.................30 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....59-69.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........54-64 percent.
24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL increasing to 3200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 10 knots increasing to southwest
around 20 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then clearing.
Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs 61 to
71. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in the
afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 61 to 71. South winds 10 to
15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 52 to 62. Light winds becoming
west 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ139-130115-
Black Mesa Area (Fire Weather Zone 139)-
136 AM MST Sun Oct 12 2025 /236 AM MDT Sun Oct 12 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....58-65.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........35-45 percent.
24 hr trend......26 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph in the morning
becoming light.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Min temperature.....44-49.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph increasing to southwest 30
to 40 mph after midnight.
PoP.................10 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....59-66.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........50-60 percent.
24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then clearing.
Highs 60 to 66. South winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
increasing to 35 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 58 to 65. Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 51 to 59. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
$$
AZZ112-130115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County (Fire Weather
Zone 112)-
Including the cities of Wupatki N.M. and Tuba City
136 AM MST Sun Oct 12 2025 /236 AM MDT Sun Oct 12 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....67-74.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........31-41 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph becoming southwest 5 to 15
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................10 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....45-50.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph increasing to southwest 25
to 35 mph after midnight.
PoP.................20 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Chance of rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....66-76.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........34-44 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph increasing to 15 to
20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 66 to 76. South winds 15 to
20 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 64 to 73. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph increasing to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 60 to 67. Light winds.
$$
AZZ113-130115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County (Fire Weather Zone
113)-
Including the cities of Winslow, Holbrook, and Snowflake
136 AM MST Sun Oct 12 2025 /236 AM MDT Sun Oct 12 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Chance of rain showers in the morning. Slight
chance of thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....66-72.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........45-55 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 5200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Fair.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms after
midnight.
Min temperature.....47-52.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph after
midnight.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph increasing to 30 to 40
mph after midnight.
PoP.................40 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....66-74.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........43-53 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL increasing to 6000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 15 knots increasing to around 25
knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then clearing.
Highs 67 to 73. South winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph in
the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 68 to 73. South winds 15 to
20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the lower 60s. Light winds
becoming northwest 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ114-130115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County (Fire Weather Zone
114)-
Including the cities of St. Johns and Springerville
136 AM MST Sun Oct 12 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and chance
of thunderstorms in the morning, then slight
chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........50-60 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the evening. Chance of rain showers through
the night. Chance of thunderstorms after
midnight.
Min temperature.....46-52.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........99 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph increasing to south 25
to 35 mph after midnight.
PoP.................30 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....66-72.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........68 percent below 7000 feet...54-64 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs 68 to 75. South winds 15 to
20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 69 to 76. South winds 10 to
15 mph shifting to the southwest 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 60 to 65. Light winds becoming
west 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
$$
AZZ116-130115-
Eastern Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 116)-
Including the cities of Heber, Happy Jack, and Forest Lakes
136 AM MST Sun Oct 12 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then slight
chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....65-70 below 5000 feet...61-68 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........53-63 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in
the evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms
through the night. Chance of rain showers after
midnight.
Min temperature.....42-52.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph after
midnight.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph increasing to 30 to 40
mph after midnight.
PoP.................50 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Rain showers likely through the
day. Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....61-67 below 5000 feet...56-64 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........58-68 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25
mph.
Free winds..........South 35 to 45 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then clearing.
Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs 58 to
68. South winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 59 to 69. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph increasing to 30 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 55 to 65. Light winds becoming
north 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ117-130115-
White Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 117)-
Including the cities of Show Low, Greer, and Pinetop
136 AM MST Sun Oct 12 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely in the
morning. Chance of thunderstorms through the
day. Chance of rain showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....62-69 below 7000 feet...54-64 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........54-64 percent below 7000 feet...59-69 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph in the morning
becoming light.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the
evening. Chance of rain showers through the
night. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
midnight.
Min temperature.....48-54 below 7000 feet...40-49 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........95 percent below 5000 feet...100 percent above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph increasing to 25 to 35 mph
after midnight.
PoP.................50 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Rain showers likely through the
day. Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....60-68 below 7000 feet...54-64 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........57-67 percent below 5000 feet...53-63 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25
mph.
Free winds..........South 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then clearing.
Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs 60 to
70. South winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 61 to 71. South winds 10 to
15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph increasing to 30 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 56 to 66. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ118-130115-
Northern Gila County (Fire Weather Zone 118)-
Including the cities of Payson, Strawberry, and Young
136 AM MST Sun Oct 12 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog in the morning.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms through the
day.
Max temperature.....68-78 below 5000 feet...64-72 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........53-63 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
evening. Chance of thunderstorms through the
night. Rain showers likely after midnight.
Min temperature.....53-63 below 5000 feet...47-57 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph after
midnight.
Free winds..........South 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Rain showers likely through the
day. Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....65-75 below 5000 feet...60-69 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........58-68 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then clearing.
Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs 66 to
76. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 65 to 75. Light winds becoming
south 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 63 to 73. Light winds becoming
west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
.6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK FOR OCT 17 - 21 2025...
Below normal temperatures and near normal precipitation.
=
$$
VENTILATION...Transport wind and mixing height are based
on the following points.
ZONE 115...Williams.......6750 FT MSL.
ZONE 106...Tusayan........6606 FT MSL.
ZONE 108...Prescott.......5052 FT MSL.
ZONE 111...Window Rock....6739 FT MSL.
ZONE 113...Winslow........4883 FT MSL.
ZONE 117...Whiteriver.....5225 FT MSL.
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria
established by each state.
$$