709
FXUS65 KFGZ 052332
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
432 PM MST Sat Oct 5 2024

.SYNOPSIS...Very warm and dry weather will continue through the
weekend and into at least early next week. Afternoon winds will
remain generally light.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Unseasonably warm and dry weather continues today and
for the next several days. Afternoon temperatures are continuing to
run at 10-15 degrees above normal. Winds are minimal with most sites
peaking in the 10-15 mph range. Afternoon, fair-weather CU is likely
to develop over higher terrain each day and may have enough vertical
development for sprinkles by Wednesday.

There are some some signs of more significant cooling and shower
chances later next week. Model consistency is a problem right now,
but definitely something to watch.

&&

.AVIATION...Sunday 06/00Z through Monday 07/00Z...Mainly VFR
conditions expected with localized MVFR conditions possible in
FU/HZ near area fires. Light and variable less overnight becoming
N-NE 5-15 kts after 17Z.

OUTLOOK...Monday 07/00Z through Wednesday 09/00Z...Mainly VFR
conditions expected. S-SW winds 5-15 kts on Monday becoming SW-W
on Tuesday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Sunday and Monday...Very warm and dry conditions
persist. Daytime temperatures remaining at least 10 to 15 degrees
above normal. Winds mainly northerly or northeasterly Sunday at 10
to 15 mph, turning a bit more easterly or southeasterly Monday.

Tuesday through Thursday...Continued very warm and dry, a slight
cooling trend by Wednesday and Thursday. Afternoon fair weather
cumulus is likely over higher terrain each day. A few clouds may
produce a sprinkle or two by Wednesday. Winds generally light.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...Peterson
AVIATION...Meola
FIRE WEATHER...Peterson

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff