597
FXUS65 KFGZ 272041
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
141 PM MST Thu Mar 27 2025

.SYNOPSIS...A change to cooler and breezier conditions begins on
Friday as a West Coast trough begins to approach the region. A few
light sprinkles or showers are possible in the far northern part
of the state Friday but the rest of the weekend looks dry with
temperatures dropping back to seasonal averages.

&&

.DISCUSSION...West Coast trough will begin flattening the ridge
that has been in place over us over the last few days starting
tomorrow. A shortwave ahead of the trough and a cold front will
eject through the area on Friday bringing a band of clouds and
some sprinkles or light showers, mainly to the far northern parts
of the state (i.e. Kaibab Plateau, Black Mesa, Chuska Mtns,
possibly the SF peaks). It will also elevate the southwesterly
winds to 20-30 mph, gusts up to 40 mph. Temperatures will be
dropped back closer to seasonal averages.

Saturday through Tuesday night the ridge is flattened out into a
zonal pattern. Temperatures will be seasonal with no precipitation
expected. Southwesterly winds will pick up to 15 to 20 mph each
afternoon before settling back down at night.

Wednesday into Friday a deeper trough moves through the area and
could bring us a better shot at precipitation. Again confidence
is low as this scenario is still a ways out and model guidance
could change.

&&

.AVIATION...Thursday 27/18Z through Friday 28/18Z...VFR conditions
are forecast. Southwest winds 10-20 kts with gusts to 30 kts
through 02Z, diminishing to less than 10 kts overnight.

OUTLOOK...Friday 28/18Z through Sunday 30/18Z...Look for mainly
VFR conditions. Isolated -SHRA north and east of KGCN-KFLG-KRQE
line between 18Z/Friday and 06Z/Saturday. Southwest winds 15-25
kts with gusts 30-40 kts each day with periods of blowing dust
possible in the vicinity of KINW.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Friday and Saturday...Mainly dry and mild weather
with except isolated light showers along and north of the Interstate-
40 corridor Friday afternoon. Otherwise, Southwest winds 15-25 mph
with gusts 30-40 mph each day. Minimum RH around 15-30% on Friday
and 10-25% on Saturday.

Sunday through Tuesday...Dry and mild. Southwest winds 15-25 mph
with gusts 30-40 mph and minimum RH around 10-25% each day.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...Bernhart
AVIATION...McCollum
FIRE WEATHER...McCollum

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff