958
FXUS65 KFGZ 071301
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
601 AM MST Sat Jun 7 2025

.SYNOPSIS...Warmer and mainly dry conditions continue into next
week. Expect generally light winds through the weekend, gradually
increasing through the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Increasing heights are expected along with some dry
air aloft, bringing an end to our very active weather week.
Expect warming temperatures and generally light winds with
afternoon breezes.

Meanwhile, low pressure located just off of the central California
coast will remain nearly stationary through the weekend. This low
will weaken and open up int a trough as it starts to move to the
east on Sunday. This will tighten up the pressure gradient and
increase west to southwest winds across the region. One thing this
trough lacks as it moves through northern Arizona is moisture. Any
showers that do develop look to be high based and mainly towards the
state lines near Utah and New Mexico. Some of the higher resolution
models are a little more robust on shower activity, but keeps it
confined to the higher terrain and along the borders through the
first half of the week.

The second half of the week brings a return to more zonal flow with
a trough developing across the west. Tighter pressure gradients will
return and increased southwest winds are expected. Additionally,
this pattern looks to dry us out even more and there may be some
fire weather concerns towards the end of the week.

&&

.AVIATION...Saturday 07/12Z through Sunday 08/12Z...VFR conditions
no precipitation expected. Winds SW-W 5-15kts during the day,
light and variable or terrain driven overnight.

OUTLOOK...Sunday 08/12Z through Tuesday 10/12Z...VFR conditions,
no precipitation expected. Winds W-NW 5-15kts Sunday, SW-W 5-15kts
Monday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Today and Sunday...Warm and dry this weekend with
temperatures warming to slightly above seasonal averages. Minimum RH
dropping to 7-20%. Winds SW-W 5-15 mph each day.

Monday through Wednesday...Warm and dry with daytime temperatures
about 5 degrees above seasonal averages. Min RH 10-20% each day.
Winds ranging from SW-NW 10-15 mph with gusts 20-25 mph.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...Meola
AVIATION...Bernhart
FIRE WEATHER...Bernhart

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff