231
FXUS65 KFGZ 101156
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
456 AM MST Fri Jan 10 2025

.SYNOPSIS...High pressure will start to build over Arizona today
with gradually warming temperatures and less wind. Temperatures
will continue to warm on Saturday with increasing northwest winds.
Cold and breezy conditions return Sunday into early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...The weather system that brought the strong winds and
snow showers on Thursday has moved east of Arizona this morning.
The winds have decreased in most areas this morning. There are a
few drainage valleys that have breezy winds and mountain peaks
(11,000 feet plus) that have strong winds. Those winds will
continue to decrease this morning. Temperatures today will warm 5
to 10 degrees above yesterday.

High pressure will move over Arizona today and tonight. By
Saturday, another trough of low pressure move south
out of the Pac NW and Rockies. This will allow temperatures to
warm several degrees on Saturday before dropping again on Sunday.
Nighttime temperatures will continue to be cold. Breezes from
northwest to northeast will continue at 10 to 20 mph during the
day and mostly calm down at night.

For Tuesday through Thursday...A cut off low pressure develops
off the southern California coast on Tuesday. After that, models
diverge as to which way the low will go. For now, temperatures
look to remain on the cold side. Winds will likely remain from a
northerly direction although that could change by Thursday
depending on the low. Finally, there will be some chance of
precipitation by Wednesday or Thursday but those chances are set
at 10-20% percent at this time.

&&

.AVIATION...Friday 10/12Z through Saturday 11/12Z...VFR conditions
expected. Winds easing up to light and variable to N-NE 10kts this
morning and lasting through this afternoon. Light and variable
overnight except for typical drainage winds at KSEZ and KPRC.

OUTLOOK...Saturday 11/12Z through Monday 13/12Z...VFR conditions,
no precipitation expected. W-NW winds 10-15kts Saturday afternoon.
N-NE 10kts Saturday night into Sunday. Light and variable Sunday
night into Monday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Today through Saturday...No precipitation
expected over the next couple days.  Winds will be N-NW 10-20 mph
over the Navajo Nation while along and downslope of the Rim they`ll
be out of the NE 10-20 mph today. Winds calm down to light and
variable or terrain influenced downslope overnight. By Saturday
afternoon winds pick up to the N-NW at 10-15 mph.

Sunday through Tuesday...No precipitation expected over the next few
days.  Winds N 5-10 mph across most of northern Arizona, NE 10-15
mph along and downslope of the Rim.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...MAS
AVIATION...Bernhart
FIRE WEATHER...Bernhart

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff