Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
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521 FXUS65 KFGZ 072055 AFDFGZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ 155 PM MST Fri Nov 7 2025 .SYNOPSIS...Dry and mild weather will continue through the coming weekend and much of next week. A more unsettled pattern with chances for precipitation may return by next weekend. && .DISCUSSION...A ridge of high pressure will amplify just off the west coast over the weekend, peaking at an impressive amplitude by Sunday or Monday. The ridge will then slowly move eastward while losing amplitude, but this could take all the way to next Friday or Saturday. This means several days of well above normal temperatures are on tap, especially Monday and Tuesday, when some high country records may fall. The pattern may break down just past the end of this forecast period. Models are chaotic and there is very low confidence, but a return to unsettled weather may be the cards. && .AVIATION...Friday 07/18Z through Saturday 08/18Z...VFR conditions are expected. Be on the lookout for localized areas of haze/smoke resulting from prescribed burns. Winds will be light and variable through the period, generally 10 kts or less. OUTLOOK...Saturday 08/18Z through Monday 10/18Z...VFR conditions are forecast. Winds generally from the north at 5-15 kts on Saturday afternoon, becoming north through east on Sunday. Northeast winds will remain elevated south of the Mogollon Rim Saturday night into Sunday morning. && .FIRE WEATHER...Saturday and Sunday...Warm and dry conditions are forecast. Northerly winds will be light, mainly less than 10 mph on Saturday, then shifting to light and from the north through east on Sunday. Minimum afternoon RH between 15-25% each day. Monday through Wednesday...Warm and dry conditions will continue. Winds light at 10 mph or less and mainly terrain driven on Monday and Tuesday. Winds becoming more westerly at 5-15 mph on Wednesday. Minimum RH 10-20% on Monday and Tuesday with an increasing RH trend starting Wednesday. && .FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None. && $$ PUBLIC...Peterson AVIATION...McCollum FIRE WEATHER...McCollum For Northern Arizona weather information visit weather.gov/flagstaff