Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 061628
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
928 AM MST Thu Nov 6 2025

.SYNOPSIS...Dry and warm conditions will continue through the
weekend and into first-half of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Zonal flow keeps dry conditions and slightly above-
normal temperatures in the forecast to finish out the work week.
Breezy conditions look to remain this afternoon, as a weak
shortwave passes through Utah and Colorado. High pressure then
builds into the region over the weekend, bringing lighter winds
and a slight uptick in temperatures into the start of next week.

No chances for precipitation look to exist in the next 7 days.
However, much of the global ensemble guidance continues to favor the
potential for rain and high-elevation snow near the end of next
week. Confidence in any exact details remains low however, given how
far out this potential system still is. Nevertheless, a return of
cooler more seasonable temperatures and breezier winds look
probable.

&&

.AVIATION...Thursday 06/18Z through Friday 07/18Z...Look for VFR
conditions. Localized haze/smoke possible due to prescribed burns.
Southwesterly winds 5-15 kts with gusts to 20 kts, becoming light
and variable after 02Z.

OUTLOOK...Friday 07/18Z through Sunday 09/18Z...VFR conditions are
forecast. Localized haze/smoke possible due to prescribed burns.
Light and variable winds around 10 kts or less on Friday will
become more northerly on Saturday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Today and Friday...Warm and dry conditions will
continue. West to northwest winds at 5-15 mph with gusts to 20-25
mph this afternoon, becoming light and mainly terrain driven winds
less than 10 mph on Friday. Minimum afternoon RH between 15-25% each
day.

Saturday through Monday...Warm and dry conditions will continue.
Light northerly winds on Saturday, becoming north to east on Sunday,
then light and mainly terrain driven winds on Monday with speeds
around 10 mph or less each day. Minimum RH between 15-25% each day.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...Humphreys
AVIATION...McCollum
FIRE WEATHER...Meola

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff