245
FXUS65 KFGZ 260434
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
934 PM MST Fri Apr 25 2025

.SYNOPSIS...A dry cold front will bring cooler temperatures and
elevated southwesterly winds Friday through Sunday. Expect gusts
from 35 to 45 mph each day. Critical fire weather conditions are
possible over east central and northeast Arizona on Saturday and
Sunday. Warmer temperatures and lighter winds return next week.

&&

.UPDATE...No updates to the current forecast package. Winds calm
down a little bit tonight but still breezy at 10-15 mph out of
the south to southwest. Winds pick back up again tomorrow as the
Low pressure system off the California coast moves inland, Wind
Advisory goes into effect at 10 AM MST, lasting until 7 PM MST for
south to southwest winds 20-30 mph, gusting up to 45 mph.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /431 PM MST/...Our windy weekend actually started today, with many
locations seeing gusts right around Wind Advisory criteria for this
afternoon. Temperatures remained seasonably mild, the low pressure
system responsible for this weather is still moving into position
off the central California coast.

Temperatures on Saturday still won`t fall very much, if so, mainly
over the western zones, as the low will still be west of Arizona.
Temperatures will take a noticeable dip Sunday as the low ejects
through Utah, but will recover as early as Monday. Winds pick up a
bit over the weekend as the low approaches. A Wind Advisory as well
as a Red Flag Warning have been issued.

Temperatures recover with lighter winds next week, but a slight
chance of high-based convection arrives Tuesday and maybe again
Thursday. Something to keep an eye on.

&&

.AVIATION...Saturday 26/06Z through Sunday 27/06Z...Look for VFR
conditions. Winds overnight south at 5-15 kts. Winds pick up by
15Z becoming south at 15-25 kts gusting to 35 kts by midday.

OUTLOOK...Sunday 27/06Z through Tuesday 29/06Z...VFR conditions are
forecast. Overnight Saturday, winds diminishing some but
remaining elevated at 10-20 kts. On Sunday, winds strengthening
becoming southwest at 15-25 kts with gusts up to around 35 kts by
the afternoon. Monday will see lighter winds generally from the
west at 5-15 kts.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Tonight through Sunday...Windy, dry and cooler with
areas of critical fire weather conditions. A Red Flag Warning is in
effect on Saturday and Sunday in the Little Colorado River Valley
and eastward including the White Mountains, Chuska Mountains and
Defiance Plateau. Winds south through southwest at 15 to 25 mph,
with gusts up to 35-40 mph each day. Temperatures drop to 5-10
degrees below average on Sunday.

Monday through Wednesday...Less windy with a gradual warming trend.
A slight chance of high-based convection on Tuesday. Winds generally
from the west to southwest at 5-15 mph each day. Temperatures return
to near average by Tuesday or Wednesday.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory from 10 AM MST /11 AM MDT/ to 7 PM MST /8 PM MDT/
Saturday for AZZ007-009-011>015-017-039-040.

Red Flag Warning from 10 AM MST /11 AM MDT/ to 7 PM MST /8 PM
MDT/ Saturday for AZZ111>114-117-140.

Red Flag Warning from 10 AM MST /11 AM MDT/ to 7 PM MST /8 PM
MDT/ Sunday for AZZ111>114-117-140.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...Bernhart/Peterson
AVIATION...McCollum
FIRE WEATHER...McCollum

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff