Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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FNUS73 KFGF 221410
FWSFGF

Spot Forecast for R East, Milton Jr...U.S. Forest Service
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
810 AM CST Wed Jan 22 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CST on January 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please call the NWS in Grand Forks at 701-795-5127 for additional
information and monitor our website (www.weather.gov/fgf) or NOAA
All-Hazards Radio for the latest updates.

.DISCUSSION...

Winds becoming due northerly behind a morning cold front by 10am with
increasing speeds. Expect winds of 15-20 mph through 6pm and gusts
as high as 35-40 mph between noon and 3 pm. RH as low as 70-80%
but overall winds remain the big hazard for burning today. Winds
becoming more NW through tonight and then west tomorrow with much
lighter winds (5-10mph) by midnight tonight.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of snow
                    late in the morning. Slight chance of snow late
                    in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 24.
Min humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 15 mph with gusts to
                    around 25 mph shifting to the north with gusts
                    to around 29 mph late in the morning.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 15 to 20 mph shifting to the north 20
                    to 25 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....9100 knot-ft early in the morning increasing to
                    46300 knot-ft in the afternoon.

TIME (CST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........89  91  90  92  91  73  66  65  72  65
Weather cov.....    CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....    SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN
Tstm cov........
Temp............23  24  23  19  15  13  12  10  9   7
RH..............77  77  77  80  84  84  76  80  80  79
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..15  15  15  20  20  20  20  20  20  15
20 FT wind gust.20  22  25  27  28  29  29  28  26  25
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.1 2.0 1.5
Mixing wind dir.NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Mixing wind spd.15  15  20  20  20  25  25  25  25  20
Vrate kt-ft/1K..9   10  19  26  35  38  45  46  43  28

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 8 below.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph decreasing to
                    around 5 mph early in the morning.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........North 15 to 20 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 10 mph early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....13400 knot-ft early in the evening decreasing
                    to 4500 knot-ft late in the night.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........54  51  53  50  50  50  56  54  53  49  39  32
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............5   4   4   2   1   0   -1  -2  -3  -4  -5  -5
RH..............79  79  74  77  77  77  77  81  81  82  86  82
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  5
20 FT wind gust.23  21  20  19  18  15  14  14  14  14  13  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5
Mixing wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW
Mixing wind spd.20  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..13  11  10  9   7   8   8   9   9   9   6   5

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 11.
Min humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    west in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the west
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....1900 knot-ft early in the morning increasing to
                    18900 knot-ft in the afternoon.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........28  26  25  26  27  26  25  22  20  19  19  21
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............-6  -6  -6  -5  -1  1   4   7   9   9   8   7
RH..............86  86  86  86  79  83  79  76  77  80  82  85
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10  5   5
20 FT wind gust.12  11  11  12  13  14  14  14  14  14  13  11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.6 1.9 1.9 1.5 0.9
Mixing wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Mixing wind spd.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3   2   2   3   5   8   11  15  19  19  14  7

$$
Forecaster...TT
Requested by...Erik Danko
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2501023.0/FGF
.DELDT 01/22/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL erik.danko@usda.gov