885
FNUS73 KFGF 081031
FWSFGF

Spot Forecast for Sheyenne Delta Fire Restoration PBA...Sheyenne Delta Fire Restoration PBA
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
431 AM CST Fri Nov 8 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CST on November 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please call the NWS in Grand Forks at 701-795-5127 for additional
information and monitor our website (www.weather.gov/fgf) or NOAA
All-Hazards Radio for the latest updates.

.DISCUSSION...

Light rain chances increase after 10am CST Saturday at the
location of the spot forecast, however the best chances are after
3PM through late Saturday evening. Based on current timing there
is more likely to be a 3 to 6 hour window after 10 am where rain
holds off to the south, though timing could still change over the
next 24hr. When rain arrives it is expected to be light, but
enough to wet the ground, ranging from one tenth to one quarter of
an inch. There is a low chance for rain totals greater than one
quarter of an inch. Humidity values will remain high above 70
percent. Winds could vary between south and southeast 5 to 10 mph,
occasionally gusting to 15 mph during the day Saturday.


.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    late in the morning, then chance of rain late
                    in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 47.
Min humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 10 mph.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....10100 knot-ft early in the morning increasing
                    to 13700 knot-ft in the afternoon.

TIME (CST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........86  89  89  90  92  93  91  89
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Temp............43  44  46  46  46  46  46  47
RH..............79  79  76  79  81  83  82  81
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.16  16  16  16  15  15  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.9 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.9 1.0
Mixing wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
Mixing wind spd.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..13  13  14  13  11  10  11  12

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain likely in the
                    evening, then slight chance of rain overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Southeast 10 to 15 mph shifting to the south
                    around 5 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....18500 knot-ft early in the evening decreasing
                    to 4900 knot-ft late in the night.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........87  90  92  95  95  96  96  96  95  95  93  91
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Temp............47  46  44  43  43  43  43  43  42  42  42  42
RH..............79  84  88  93  93  93  93  94  95  96  97  99
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.13  13  12  11  11  9   8   8   7   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.0
Mixing wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S
Mixing wind spd.15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10  10  5   5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..13  15  17  19  16  14  12  10  8   7   6   5

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 50.
Min humidity........80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest early in the morning.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Southwest around 5 mph increasing to 10 to 15
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....4000 knot-ft early in the morning increasing to
                    26100 knot-ft in the afternoon.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........89  87  84  82  77  71  66  60  54  48  42  35
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............42  42  42  42  44  45  47  48  49  50  49  49
RH..............100 100 100 100 99  94  89  86  83  80  81  82
20 FT wind dir..E   SE  SW  W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.        7   8   9   11  12  13  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.2 1.6 1.0
Mixing wind dir.SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW
Mixing wind spd.5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  15  15  15  10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4   5   5   6   9   12  16  19  23  26  18  10

$$
Forecaster...DJR
Requested by...Rich A Schock
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2425844.0/FGF
.DELDT 11/08/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL richsracing@outlook.com