778
FXUS62 KFFC 131030
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
630 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025



...New 12Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 625 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025

 - Fair weather and a gradual upward trend in temperatures is
      expected this week.

 - Dry conditions to continue with no meaningful precipitation
          expected through the longterm.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 625 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025

The coastal low and associated upper level trough will finally
push off the coast and into the Atlantic through today into
tomorrow giving way to the upper level ridging to settle into
place over much of the south. Ridging and high pressure will be
the main story for the short term with dry and sunny conditions
expected through at least Tuesday. As with the past couple of
days, did blend in NBM10 into the dewpoints to account for the dry
air in place. With the pattern dominated by high pressure and
little to no cloud cover temps will easily warm to the low 80s
today at ~5-6 degrees above normal. Tomorrow will see much of the
same weather with temps in the low to mid 80s (~10 degrees above
normal) and clear skies. Morning temps in the mid to upper 50s
are forecast for the next two mornings which is still ~5 degrees
above normal.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 625 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025

Longterm outlook continues to be dominated by a ridging pattern,
though troughing may return next weekend. Upper level flow pinches
off the east coast trough as ridging develops across the central
CONUS and southern plains. Models drive the cut off low south,
around the upper level high, though this should be far enough south
to keep impacts minimal through the week. Vertically stacked
northerly flow through the week will keep PWATs at or below 1". Our
next chance for precipitation may be next weekend, however given
recent model performance on ridge breakdown this forecaster is
hesitant to expect any meaningful rain. The current model solutions
which do deliver some rainfall for the area require that the cut-off
low rounds the upper high and amplifies troughing through the
weekend. This provides both increased support and moisture to
trigger showers and thunderstorms, however perfect timing for this
to occur will be necessary. At this time, prepare for continued or
further development of drought conditions.

Temperatures through the week will rise into the low to mid 80s for
much of north and central Georgia. This is well above average,
however dewpoints in the 50s will make things quite tolerable.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 625 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025

NNW winds should turn more E in the next two hours where they
should remain that way until ~17-18z when they turn back to the
NW. Speeds remain generally at 7kt or less. Low chance for a few
clouds at 6000ft to filter in this afternoon but otherwise SKC
conditions through the period.


//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...
Low confidence on the FEW 6000ft deck this afternoon.
High confidence on all other elements.

Hernandez

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          78  55  81  55 /   0   0   0   0
Atlanta         79  58  83  58 /   0   0   0   0
Blairsville     73  48  76  49 /   0   0   0   0
Cartersville    79  54  81  53 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus        82  57  85  57 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     78  56  82  55 /   0   0   0   0
Macon           81  56  83  55 /   0   0   0   0
Rome            81  56  83  55 /   0   0   0   0
Peachtree City  79  54  83  55 /   0   0   0   0
Vidalia         81  59  83  57 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hernandez
LONG TERM....SM
AVIATION...Hernandez