


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
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921 FXUS62 KFFC 120101 AFDFFC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 901 PM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025 .UPDATE... Issued at 856 PM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025 At the time of this writing, there are a few light radar returns in portions of east-central Georgia, though any precipitation that manages to reach the ground will be very light. Otherwise, only minor adjustments have been made to the near term forecast given the latest observations. && .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Sunday) Issued at 856 PM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025 This Evening & Tonight: Quiet weather will occur in most of north and central Georgia during this period, despite the strong coastal low spinning along the Georgia Coastline. Most of the region will feature fair skies, low humidity and mild temperatures. Due to the low humidity temperatures will fall quickly this evening. By Sunday morning the mountains and portions of northwest Georgia should reach the upper 40s. The Atlanta Metro and central Georgia should remain in the 50s overnight. A few rain showers are possible in east central Georgia, though rainfall won`t be widespread due to a lack of appreciable forcing mechanisms. Sunday: As the coastal low moves into the Carolinas on Sunday the model guidance suggests that weak shortwave will rotate around the backside of the low. CAM guidance is hit and miss with this feature regarding its ability to generate rainfall in Georgia. However it should provide some weak lift, and with ample mid-level moisture in place some precipitation chances are warranted across eastern Georgia. We bumped up rain chances (from the base NBM guidance) into the 15 to 35% range, with the highest chances expected during the afternoon. A low degree of instability suggests that lightning is unlikely on Sunday. Rain totals don`t look overly impressive, likely less than 0.20 inches. For western and northern Georgia dry weather is expected on Sunday. Confidence in the temperature forecast for Sunday is high for western Georgia, where sunshine and rising heights should allow temperatures to approach 80 degrees. Greater uncertainty in the high temperature forecast exists for eastern (particularly east central) Georgia where cloud clover and light rainfall could limit afternoon highs to the low 70s. If rainfall holds off until the evening or doesn`t occur then highs could find there way into the upper 70s. && .LONG TERM... (Monday morning through next Friday) Issued at 856 PM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025 Any meaningful rainfall across North and Central GA appears unlikely over the next 7 days. Mid to upper troughing will be lifting northeastward along the East Coast, with broad ridging taking up residence across much of the Central US and stick around through much of next week. Daytime highs will range from the upper 70s to the mid 80s from Monday to Friday. Expect temperatures to be 5-10 degrees cooler in the northeast GA mountains. Overnight temperatures remain on the cooler side with values in the 50s (40s in the mountains). Given the lack of rainfall in the long term forecast, drought conditions are likely to remain the same or worsen. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 856 PM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025 VFR conditions are expected to persist through the period in north and west Georgia. MVFR between 020-030 ceilings may be possible at times in areas south and east of MCN overnight and into Sunday afternoon. Isolated light rain showers remain possible in east Georgia, but chances appear to be too low to warrant mention in the MCN/AHN TAFs at this time. Winds will be NE at 4-7 kts this evening, decreasing to 4 kts or less after midnight. Winds are then forecast to shift to NW by 07-08Z and increase to 5-10 kts by mid-morning. //ATL Confidence...00Z Update... High confidence on all elements. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 55 76 54 78 / 10 20 10 0 Atlanta 56 79 56 80 / 0 10 0 0 Blairsville 46 73 49 74 / 0 10 10 0 Cartersville 49 78 50 79 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 56 81 54 83 / 0 0 0 0 Gainesville 54 78 55 79 / 0 10 10 0 Macon 58 78 55 81 / 10 20 10 0 Rome 52 81 51 82 / 0 0 0 0 Peachtree City 53 79 52 80 / 0 10 0 0 Vidalia 60 72 58 80 / 20 30 20 0 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Albright LONG TERM....07 AVIATION...King