022
FXUS62 KFFC 281056
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
656 AM EDT Thu Aug 28 2025

...New 12Z Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 448 AM EDT Thu Aug 28 2025

Key Messages:

  - Dry again today. Winds will be light. Expect some cloud cover
    to linger in many areas, helping keep temperatures mild and
    in the 80s again.

  - Moisture slowly is working back in, with rain chances returning
    on Friday.

Forecast:

Anomalous 500 mb trough continues to sit in place over the
eastern CONUS through the short term period. Weak shortwave
embedded within the southern portion of the trough is bringing
some elevated cloud cover to north and central Georgia this
morning that will likely last a bit into the afternoon hours. No
precip is expected with this. Stronger trough axis will rotate
through the east coast late in the evening to the overnight hours,
which means we will be caught in a bit of a confusing environment
for our surface conditions, with several different features
pulling a bit on where the winds and things want to go. The net
result will likely be a relatively calm, quiet day with the
aforementioned upper level cloud cover staying around in many
areas. Highs will be in the 80s across much of the CWA.

With the trough axis rotating through, yet another shot of drier air
will push in from the north tonight, though we likely won`t be as
cool as we were some previous nights. Not expecting to make runs at
any records given our four primary climate sites should remain in
the 60s and the record are all in the 50s, but we will be several
degrees below average for late August. Can`t rule out a few showers
or elevated storms creeping into west central Georgia along the
moisture axis aloft, but things are dry enough below that these may
struggle to hold together or squeeze anything out that makes it to
the ground.

Tomorrow, we see some morning to afternoon shower or elevated storm
chances return to the metro and central Georgia. Trough over the NE
cuts off a bit into a closed 500 mb upper level low, and yet another
little shortwave looks to rotate around it. However, trough is far
enough north that we may finally get some moisture, even if a bit
elevated, to filter over the CWA for the upper level lift to make
use of as it rotates through. These likely won`t be widespread, but
we will be finally setting things up for some better shots of rain
going into the weekend (see below). Highs will again be in the 80s,
limited somewhat by potential cloud cover.

Lusk

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 448 AM EDT Thu Aug 28 2025

Key Messages:

    - Below normal temperatures through mid next week.

    - Scattered rain chances focused to central Georgia through the
      weekend into next week.

Discussion:

The extended forecast begins with the frontal boundary laying across
south GA and extending along the northern Gulf coast and then up
into eastern TX/OK. There are a few waves moving southeast along the
frontal boundary out of the central plains and down across the gulf
coast states into the weekend.  These waves ride along the front as
the frontal boundary moves slowly south into central FL through
Sunday. This pattern will keep a decent amount of moisture across
the region keeping diurnally driven precip chances in the 30% to 60%
range across the CWA (Highest chances will be across central GA
which is closest in proximity to the frontal boundary). At the same
time a wedge of high pressure begins to build down the eastern
seaboard Sun pushing into NE GA Sun night/Mon morning. This wedge
will bring in cooler/moist easterly flow keeping temps low, but also
keeping precip chances up through day 7. This wedge appears to
become the dominate feature for north and central GA through at
least Wed of next week. The models are hinting at a fairly strong
frontal boundary moving south out of the western great lake states
Wed and into NW GA by Thu morning. If this does occur it should help
to scour out the wedge and bring in a cooler/drier airmass for the
end of next week.

Temps will remain below seasonal norms with highs mainly in the
upper 70s to middle 80s. Night time low temps will drop down into
the upper 50s to middle 60s through day 7.

01

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 654 AM EDT Thu Aug 28 2025

VFR through TAF period. Only cig impacts will be from high cirrus
or cirrostratus, outside of CSG which could see some brief MVFR
impacts. No vsby or precip impacts expected, again except CSG
which could see a few overnight showers just before sunrise
tomorrow. Winds will be erractic but light moving from the east
side in the morning to the west side, then possibly back to the
east side again overnight.

//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...
Medium high winds, high all others.

Lusk

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          82  62  84  64 /   0   0  10  20
Atlanta         84  65  84  67 /   0  10  10  40
Blairsville     76  55  80  59 /   0   0  10  20
Cartersville    84  61  86  65 /   0   0  10  30
Columbus        87  69  84  68 /  10  20  30  40
Gainesville     82  62  84  64 /   0   0  10  20
Macon           86  67  84  67 /   0  10  20  30
Rome            83  59  84  64 /   0   0  10  20
Peachtree City  85  64  83  65 /   0  10  20  40
Vidalia         88  68  86  68 /  10  10  20  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Lusk
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...Lusk