091
FXUS62 KFFC 241745
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
145 PM EDT Sun Aug 24 2025

...New 18Z Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 403 AM EDT Sun Aug 24 2025

Key Messages:

  - Isolated to scattered thunderstorms this afternoon across north
    and central Georgia. Severe weather is not expected.

  - Cold front will approach Georgia this afternoon before airmass makes
    a significant push into the area overnight into Monday. Much
    drier air will mean no rain chances tomorrow.

Forecast:

Psuedo-wedge has pushed in relatively drier air this morning, with
emphasis on the relatively. Cloud cover and some patchy fog is
around, especially down in central Georgia where moisture is a bit
higher. This should clear to an extent through the morning hours. A
broad surface low is expected to form off the coast today along the
coastal baroclinic zone and push quickly to the north through the
afternoon. This will result in the end of our weak wedge and switch
around of winds to the NW. This will be a boon to a larger frontal
system pushing into from the NW, which will begin to push into the
area later this afternoon. Convergence along the front will be very
weak as a result, but it may provide for some forcing for isolated
to scattered afternoon storms across north and central Georgia.
Some clearing of the skies this afternoon should allow for temps
to rise into the mid to upper 80s, very seasonable for this time
of year.

Tonight will see the main airmass of the cold front push into
Georgia, bringing cooler, drier air to the north and the metro. Rain
chances should quickly come to an end. Lows tonight in north Georgia
and the metro will fall quickly within the drier airmass into the
mid to lower 60s, and 50s in the mountains. In central Georgia,
expect moist air to hang around a bit longer, keeping low temps
closer to 70.

Monday, cold front continues to push into the area, bringing our
first dry day across both north and central Georgia in quite a bit
(or, at least that`s what it feels like). Won`t completely rule out
a quick little pop up in far east central Georgia during the late
afternoon, but current forecast leans dry even there. Highs will be
near 80 in the north, mid 80s around the metro, and near or above 90
as you slide into portions of central Georgia. Given this is a true
cold continental airmass, blended in some drier, better mixed models
to lower dewpoints and up afternoon wind speeds within that post
frontal airmass.

Lusk

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 403 AM EDT Sun Aug 24 2025

Key Messages:

       - Drier and cooler weather expected through Thursday

       - Isolated rain and thunder chances may return heading into
         the weekend

Discussion:

A broad trough will be in place over much of the eastern CONUS at
the start of the long term. The trough will continue to deepen and a
reinforcing cold front will move through the region on Tuesday. This
front may have just enough moisture to squeeze out a few isolated
showers across portions of North GA during the afternoon. Following
the front, northwest flow will usher in cooler and drier air into
the region that will stick around through most of the week. A strong
surface high will gradually build across the Central CONUS extending
and eventually migrating over the Southeast through the work week.
As a result slightly below normal temperatures and dry weather
conditions are forecast for North and Central Georgia through
Thursday. Forecast high temperatures will range from the mid 70s in
North GA (upper 60s in northeast GA) to mid 80s across Central GA.
More notably forecast low temperatures will be in the mid 50s to mid
60s through the week. Needless to say, this will be a welcomed
change from the warm and wet weather we have been experiencing
recently.

Heading towards the end of this next week into the weekend, another
weather system may reignite rain and thunder chances across portions
of North and Central GA. Long term ensembles (EPS/GEFS) differ in
the evolution of this potential system and extent of precipitation
chances, thus maintained only a slight chance (25-30%) at most for
showers and thunderstorms at the tail end of the period. Details
such as timing and extent will continue to be refined in future
forecasts.

07

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 138 PM EDT Sun Aug 24 2025

VFR conditions at most sites with CIGs around 2-3kft gradually
dissipating from BKN to SCT. Front approaching the area will bring
TSRA/SHRA chances from late afternoon through the evening hours,
but otherwise VFR conditions expected through the 18Z TAF period.
Continued to include PROB30s for today, but that may end up being
too aggressive. Winds will be around 3-7 kts out of the W/NW
through tonight, increasing out of the NW/N to around 8-10kts
with gusts of 18-20kts by mid-day Monday.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium confidence in SH/TS chances and timing today. High for all
other elements.

Culver

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          85  65  85  61 /  30  20   0   0
Atlanta         85  66  84  63 /  50  20   0   0
Blairsville     80  58  78  54 /  60  10   0   0
Cartersville    85  62  83  60 /  50  10   0   0
Columbus        87  69  89  64 /  40  30   0   0
Gainesville     85  64  84  61 /  50  20   0   0
Macon           87  69  89  62 /  30  20   0   0
Rome            85  62  83  59 /  50  10   0   0
Peachtree City  85  65  85  61 /  50  20   0   0
Vidalia         87  71  91  65 /  30  30  10   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Lusk
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...Culver