Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
834
FNUS74 KEWX 062153
FWSEWX
Spot Forecast for Gonzales 3233...TFS
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
353 PM CST Wed Nov 6 2024
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 CST on November 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Partly to mostly sunny skies will continue for the next few hours
with a slight increase in cloud cover over the past few hours. Later
this evening clouds will increase and become thick over the fire site.
Temperatures in the mid 80s will cool to the upper 70s by sunset, and
RH values will climb rapidly by this evening. 9 PM RH values are
expected to be near 80 percent, and a 100 percent RH and light fog is
possible after midnight. Winds are expected to remain out of the east
and northeast at 4 to 8 mph through the night. There is an increasing
chance of light rain and isolated storms on Thursday.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Eye level winds.....East winds around 4 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......East winds around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 9 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (CST) 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........15 17
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0
LAL.............1 1
Temp............81 80
RH..............33 38
20 FT wind dir..E E
20 FT wind spd..6 6
20 FT wind gust.10 10
Eye lvl wnd dir.E E
Eye lvl wnd spd.4 4
Eye lvl wnd gst.6 6
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 0.7
Transp wind dir.E E
Transp wind spd.9 10
Haines index....5 5
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 3 am.
CWR.................4 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 0300, then 1-8 strikes.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds around 3 mph shifting to the
around 4 mph early in the morning.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph
early in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms after 3 am.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........18 25 32 44 55 71 77 72 87 86 90 90
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2
Temp............76 71 69 69 69 69 67 67 66 65 66 67
RH..............54 68 76 78 81 81 90 93 97 100 100 97
20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E E E E NE NE NE
20 FT wind spd..3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 5 5 6
20 FT wind gust.9 8 8 7 7 7 7 8 8 9 10 10
Eye lvl wnd dir.E E E E E E E E E NE NE NE
Eye lvl wnd spd.2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 3 4
Eye lvl wnd gst.5 5 5 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.E E E E E E E E E E E E
Transp wind spd.10 10 10 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 8
Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
thunderstorms in the morning. Chance of showers
through the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
CWR.................4 percent increasing to 23 percent in the
afternoon.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 1200, then 9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........77 percent.
Eye level winds.....East winds up to 6 mph shifting to the
southeast around 5 mph late in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......East winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms in the morning.
Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........89 82 72 76 84 78 51 70 54 40 47 45
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20 20 20
LAL.............2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3
Temp............68 68 71 74 75 78 81 82 82 83 82 80
RH..............100 100 97 97 100 94 88 79 79 77 79 82
20 FT wind dir..NE E E E E E E E E E SE SE
20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 7 8 9 9 10 10 10 9 8
20 FT wind gust.12 12 12 13 13 14 15 15 15 16 16 15
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE E E E E E E E E E SE SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.4 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 5
Eye lvl wnd gst.7 7 7 8 8 8 9 9 9 10 10 9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.3 2.1 2.4 2.5 2.7 2.7 2.2 1.0
Transp wind dir.E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E
Transp wind spd.8 8 8 8 8 9 9 10 10 12 12 13
Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
$$
Forecaster...18
Requested by...CS dispatch
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2425971.0/EWX
.DELDT 11/06/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL csdispatch@tfs.tamu.edu