Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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FNUS74 KEWX 162007
FWSEWX

Spot Forecast for Bastrop 4893...Texas A&M Forest Service
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
307 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1500 CDT on October 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Continued southeast winds will result in a little higher moisture
over the burn area today. With an afternoon high around 87 degrees,
look for minimum humidity levels down near 42 percent today.
Southeast winds remain intact overnight along with excellent
humidity recovery. On Friday, daytime highs will nudge upward to
near 90 degrees along with minimum humidity levels near 40 percent.
There is a low chance for an isolated shower or thunderstorm near
the burn area Friday afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds around 5 mph with gusts to 9 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 6 to 8 mph with gusts to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 11 to 13 mph.

TIME (CDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........36  30  23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0
Temp............86  86  87
RH..............43  42  42
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..7   8   7
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   5   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...5.3 5.3 5.8
Transp wind dir.SE  S   S
Transp wind spd.12  13  12

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds up to 4 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 4 to 7 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 13 mph.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........23  8   14  23  16  10  5   5   5   8   18  24
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............85  82  80  75  73  72  70  69  67  66  63  63
RH..............45  49  54  64  68  73  78  84  90  93  100 100
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..7   6   6   6   6   5   3   3   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.14  13  12  13  12  12  10  9   8   7   7   6
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE  SE  SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   4   4   3   2   2   1   1   1   1
Eye lvl wnd gst.8   8   7   8   7   7   6   5   5   4   4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...4.4 0.9 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.13  10  12  12  12  12  12  10  9   8   7   7

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................6 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming southeast 4 to 8 mph late
                    in the morning.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming south 6 to 9 mph. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 12 mph.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........23  35  40  35  28  18  38  29  21  33  31  26
Weather cov.....                            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
Temp............63  61  63  68  77  81  84  87  89  89  91  89
RH..............97  100 100 97  74  65  55  48  45  45  42  47
20 FT wind dir..SE  E   E   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   3   6   6   7   8   8   9   9
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   7   9   12  14  15  15  16  17  17
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  E   E   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.1   1   1   1   2   4   4   4   5   5   5   5
Eye lvl wnd gst.3   3   3   4   5   7   8   9   9   10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.3 0.7 1.8 3.0 3.8 4.2 4.8 5.3 5.8 5.5
Transp wind dir.S   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.6   5   5   5   8   9   9   10  10  12  12  12

$$
Forecaster...24
Requested by...Dispatch
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2523759.0/EWX
.DELDT 10/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL csdispatch@tfs.tamu.edu