633
FXUS64 KEWX 061127
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
627 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 213 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

Short Term...

Key Message:

- Gusty wind will allow for wind chills as low as the mid 20s this
morning with calm but cold conditions again tonight into Monday
morning.

The pressure gradient remains tight over South Central Texas as an
upper level low slowly shifts east of the area through the day
today. Northwest wind around 15 to 35 mph will persist through the
morning, with some wind gusts up to around 40 mph. Winds will
slightly weaken through the afternoon hours, but really drop off
this evening as surface high pressure moves over the area.

Temperatures early this morning will be unseasonably cold, in the
30s for the southern Edwards Plateau and Hill Country and in the 40s
elsewhere. Circling back to our gusty wind, wind chills values in
the coldest locations could feel as low as the mid-20s around
sunrise. Quite the difference from last night where lows were in the
50s and 60s. Highs this afternoon will be the coolest of the week
ranging from the mid and upper 50s north to the mid and upper 60s
south. Cloudy skies this morning should start to clear this
afternoon at least allowing for a bit of sunshine with the breezy
and cool weather.

Clear skies and light wind tonight will allow temperatures to tank
again into the low 30s north to mid 30s south. A few spots in the
Hill Country will see a few hours of near 32F temps and possibly a
light freeze. Clear skies and a slight warm up are seen Monday with
temperatures mostly in the 70s for South Central Texas.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 213 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

Dry and warm conditions are expected for the long term period with a
north to northwest flow aloft. At the surface, a light southeast
flow is anticipated from Monday night through at least Wednesday
morning. Winds increase from the south on Wednesday afternoon in
response to a mid level short wave pushing across the Southern
Plains. The short wave continues to advance to the south into South
Central Texas and sends a Pacific cold front our way on Thursday.
Northerly winds and gusts are expected to increase in the wake of
boundary Thursday afternoon with winds ranging from 15 to 25 mph
with gusts of 30 to 40 mph. Winds begin to ease overnight. Dry
conditions persist in the wake of the frontal passage with
temperatures cooling a little bit on Friday but coming back up for
the weekend as southerly winds return as surface high pressure stays
to the east of the local area. A wind event is shaping for Saturday
into Sunday at least across the Rio Grande, Southern Edwards
Plateau, and Hill Country with southerly winds in the 15 to 25 mph
and gusts of 30 to 45 mph. Time will tell.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 625 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

MVFR ceilings remain just north of San Antonio terminals this
morning with AUS continuing to see ceilings around 2.5 kft. While
there is some potential SAT may briefly see lower ceilings again,
went with prevailing VFR through the period for SAT/SSF and DRT.
Ceilings erode from south to north with AUS reaching VFR late this
morning or early afternoon. Gusty northwest wind continues at all
sites with gusts ranging from around 25 to 30 knots. Winds will
decrease quickly after 00Z Monday becoming around 5 knots or less
after 06Z under clear skies.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              59  41  70  44 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  60  38  70  40 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     62  40  73  43 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            57  38  70  42 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           67  45  78  49 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        57  37  70  41 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             64  38  75  42 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        61  37  72  41 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   60  39  69  40 /   0   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       63  42  73  45 /   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           64  42  75  45 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Short-Term...27
Long-Term...17
Aviation...27