Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
700 FXUS64 KEWX 092320 AFDEWX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 620 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Low humidity, cooler mornings, and warm afternoons Friday through the weekend. && .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Friday night) Issued at 1158 AM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025 Isolated showers have persisted over the Rio Grande Plains this morning with additional low chances for spotty showers along the Rio Grande through early this evening. Elsewhere, drier air continues to move into the region keeping rain-free conditions in place. Drier air continues to filter in from the northeast through the short term period bringing lower dewpoints in the 50s by Friday afternoon. Clear skies and drier conditions will bring cooler morning temperatures for early Saturday with lows from the mid 50s to mid 60s across the area. && .LONG TERM... (Saturday through next Thursday) Issued at 1158 AM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025 Mid-level ridging is the main feature of the long term forecast. Drier air in the low levels remains in place through the weekend bringing cooler mornings and continued warm afternoons. Low level southerly flow returns by Sunday continuing into next week gradually bringing back some moisture to the region. The ridge either remains over Texas or shifts to the east next week, but is forecast to strengthen either way. Continued slightly higher afternoon temperatures than the NBM for next week given the ridge. Lows will be back in the 60s to around 70 degrees. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 616 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025 VFR conditions with VRB to light east northeasterly winds to prevail through the period with mainly clear skies expected by tomorrow afternoon for all TAF sites except KDRT. For KDRT have kept VCSH in until 03Z as SHRAs continue to pop up around the area. After 03Z expect light southerly to southeasterly winds with VFR conditions through the remainder of the forecast period. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1158 AM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025 Despite spotty showers the past couple of days, the lack of significant rainfall the past month for most locations has led to flash drought conditions. The combination of forecast dry weather and and low afternoon humidity, particularly on Friday and Saturday, will further dry out fuels across the region. Despite relatively weaker winds, elevated fire weather conditions are possible the next several days, especially along and east of the I-35 corridor where fuels are more drought stressed. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Austin Camp Mabry 67 93 64 92 / 0 0 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 65 93 60 92 / 0 0 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 66 93 61 92 / 0 0 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 65 88 60 88 / 0 0 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 70 92 67 92 / 10 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 64 91 60 91 / 0 0 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 66 92 62 91 / 0 0 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 65 94 58 92 / 0 0 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 65 93 58 91 / 0 0 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 69 92 64 91 / 0 0 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 70 94 64 93 / 0 0 0 0 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...27 LONG TERM....27 AVIATION...CJM