Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
439 FXUS64 KEWX 102347 AAA AFDEWX Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 647 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Low humidity, cooler mornings, and warm afternoons through the weekend. - Continued warm afternoons and dry next week && .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Saturday night) Issued at 1248 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025 An upper level high was centered over West TX today. Surface high pressure was centered over the Arklatex region making winds across our CWA light and variable. The airmass is drier today with dewpoints 5-10 degrees lower than 24 hours ago. The upper ridge will continue to dominate during the short term keeping our weather dry. The surface high will drift toward east. Winds will remain light and variable overnight, become easterly during the day Saturday, and southerly Saturday night. Mostly clear skies combined with the light winds will allow low temperatures to drop a couple of degrees each night. Highs Saturday will be about the same as Friday. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday through next Friday) Issued at 1248 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025 The upper ridge will be pushed toward the east over the beginning of next week, but will force a trough to stay to the northwest. This will keep all forcing to our west and north, so our weather will stay dry. An upper high will reform over TX Tuesday and as you might expect continue the dry weather. Both the GFS and ECMWF have an interesting inverted trough form over the eastern Gulf and move toward the west during the middle of the week. However, once this feature reaches the TX coast it gets tuned back to the east. So, still no rain for us. Temperatures through the long term period will be fairly persistent varying only a degree or two day to day. Highs will be above normal and lows near normal. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 626 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025 VFR flying conditions are expected at area TAF sites through the current forecast period. Light northeast winds continue along I-35 for a few more hours, then light and variable overnight. Winds will then trend to a more easterly direction early tomorrow afternoon. Out west at DRT, light east winds are expected overnight with southeast winds developing late morning. Similar to today, we should see some afternoon FEW-SCT clouds with bases in the 5-7K AGL range. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1248 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025 The lack of significant rainfall over the past month for most locations has led to flash drought conditions. Dry conditions over the next week along with low afternoon humidity, especially Saturday and Sunday, will continue to promote the drying of fuels across the region. Despite relatively weak winds, elevated fire weather conditions are possible the next several days, especially along and east of the I-35 corridor where fuels are more drought stressed. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Austin Camp Mabry 63 92 64 93 / 0 0 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 61 92 60 92 / 0 0 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 62 92 61 92 / 0 0 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 61 88 61 88 / 0 0 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 67 92 66 92 / 0 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 60 90 61 90 / 0 0 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 63 92 60 90 / 0 0 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 61 93 59 92 / 0 0 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 60 92 58 91 / 0 0 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 65 91 64 90 / 0 0 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 65 93 64 92 / 0 0 0 0 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...CJM LONG TERM....CJM AVIATION...Platt