188
FXUS64 KEWX 101125 AAA
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
525 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2025

...New AVIATION (12Z TAFS)...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 150 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2025

Key Messages...

- Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect until 6am for the Hill
Country and Southern Edwards Plateau.

- A few slick spots are possible during the morning commute where
surface temperatures dip below freezing.

Latest regional radar imagery shows precipitation quickly exiting
the region. Some lingering drizzle and perhaps light sleet or snow
showers are possible, but are not expected to result in any big
concerns Friday. Despite the rain moving out, we will likely see
clouds stick around most of the day and they`ll likely be difficult
to break. Temperatures will remain quite cold as a result of the
lingering cloud cover and additional CAA behind increasing
northwesterly winds this afternoon. Highs will top out in the upper
30s to middle 40s with wind chills even lower. Friday night will
likely be the coldest night so far this week with lows dipping into
the 20s area wide. Despite the cold start to Saturday, a rapid
warmup is expected with mainly clear skies and some rather dry air.
High temperatures are expected to get back into the 50s for most of
us Saturday.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 150 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2025

Key Messages...

- Below normal temperatures continue through the weekend into early
next week.

Quiet conditions are expected in the extended forecast as relatively
zonal flow sets up aloft through early next week. Another cold night
is expected Saturday night into Sunday with spotty sub-freezing
temperatures across South Central Texas. A dry cold front moves
across the area Sunday although highs will still have a chance to
warm into the 60s for the southern two thirds of the CWA that
afternoon under mostly sunny skies. Temperatures fall back into the
50s for Monday and Tuesday with lows in the 30s each night. While
there still is some uncertainty towards the middle of next week,
weak upper level ridging to the west may allow for increasing
temperatures mid to late week, with highs possibly back into the mid
and upper 60s Thursday and Friday. Dry weather persists.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 518 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2025

The forecast remains mostly status quo from the previous package.
Ceilings have gone VFR at SAT and SSF but are expected to go back
MVFR by mid to late morning and remain that way for several hours
before all sites return to VFR ceilings this afternoon. Winds out of
the NNW at 12-16 kts along with gusts to 22-28 kts can be expected
through the day today but should relax this evening after 01-02Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              41  27  56  35 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  43  25  55  32 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     43  26  56  34 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            39  25  55  34 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           49  27  59  33 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        40  25  55  34 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             45  24  55  30 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        43  25  55  32 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   44  25  55  33 /   0   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       44  28  54  34 /   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           46  28  55  34 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Weather Advisory until 6 AM CST early this morning for
Bandera-Blanco-Burnet-Edwards-Gillespie-Kendall-Kerr-Llano-Real.

&&

$$

Short-Term...MMM
Long-Term...27
Aviation...MMM