112
FXUS64 KEWX 011748 AAA
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1248 PM CDT Tue Oct 1 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 202 AM CDT Tue Oct 1 2024

Quiet weather conditions are expected in the short term period with
warm daytime temperatures and cool overnight lows. Afternoon highs
today will again approach daily records for the Austin and San
Antonio metros with temperatures in the mid to upper 90s expected in
these locations and over most of South Central Texas. Slightly lower
temperatures are seen over the Hill Country and southern Edwards
Plateau. Some low level cumulus will be possible this afternoon but
mostly clear skies will prevail. A weak surface front approaches the
northern portion of the CWA late tonight into Wednesday morning but
little impact is seen with this feature and dry weather will
continue. Highs on Wednesday may be a few degrees cooler than those
seen today, keeping record highs a bit more out of reach Wednesday
afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 202 AM CDT Tue Oct 1 2024

A broad upper level low will slowly push eastward Wednesday-Thursday,
moving into South Central Texas by Thursday night. Onshore flow
should resume as early as Thursday, allowing moisture to work back
inland over the region by late week. This is expected to set the
stage for our best rain chance in weeks. A large area of disturbed
weather is expected to form over the Gulf of Mexico by the latter
half of the week, resulting in increased sfc to 700mb moisture.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are possible beginning
Friday night over the Coastal Plains and spreading further west and
north Saturday. The aforementioned upper level low will interact with
this moisture and be responsible for our rain chances Friday-
Saturday.

Beyond Saturday, things don`t look much different as high
temperatures remain above average in the lower to middle 90s.
Mornings should remain quite comfortable, in the 60s, while we may
see some 50s in the Hill Country by early next week as a weak cold
front slides southward on Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1240 PM CDT Tue Oct 1 2024

VFR conditions are expected across the area terminals through the
forecast period. North to northeast winds 6 to 10 knots are forecast
through this evening with gusts of 15 to 20 knots especially over
KAUS. A more easterly wind component is forecast for KDRT through
early this evening before winds shift to the northeast. By tomorrow
Wednesday, a more easterly wind flow is anticipated for the I-35
sites as surface high pressure moves into the Ohio Valley.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 155 PM CDT Mon Sep 30 2024

Record High Temperatures for Oct 1

Austin Bergstrom.....98
Austin Camp Mabry....99
San Antonio..........97
Del Rio..............101

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              68  95  68  96 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  68  94  66  95 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     68  96  66  96 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            65  91  65  93 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           70  94  69  95 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        66  92  65  94 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             68  94  66  94 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        66  94  65  95 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   66  93  65  93 /   0   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       71  94  69  94 /   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           71  95  69  95 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Short-Term...17
Long-Term...05
Aviation...17