324
FPUS74 KEPZ 251859
NOWEPZ

Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1259 PM MDT Tue Jun 25 2024

NMZ401-403>411-414>417-425>429-TXZ418>424-252300-
Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley-
Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel-
Uplands of the Bootheel-Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin-
Eastern Black Range Foothills-Sierra County Lakes-
Northern Dona Ana County-Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley-
West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-
Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet-
East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Otero Mesa-
Central Grant County/Silver City Area-
Southern Gila Region Highlands/Black Range-
West Central Tularosa Basin/White Sands-
East Central Tularosa Basin/Alamogordo-Southeast Tularosa Basin-
Western El Paso County-Eastern/Central El Paso County-
Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin-
Southern Hudspeth Highlands-
Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties-
Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County-
Including the cities of Cliff, Buckhorn, Gila Hot Springs,
Mule Creek, Hurley, Faywood, Grant County Airport, Lordsburg,
Red Rock, Virden, Antelope Wells, Animas, Hachita, Cloverdale,
Deming, Columbus, Hillsboro, Winston, Truth Or Consequences,
Derry, Spaceport, Garfield, Hatch, Radium Springs, Las Cruces,
Vado, Sunland Park, Mescalero, Timberon, Mountain Park,
Cloudcroft, Sunspot, Apache Summit, Mayhill, Pinon, Sacramento,
Crow Flats, Silver City, Mimbres, Fort Bayard, Lake Roberts,
Kingston, White Sands National Park, Chaparral,
White Sands Range Headquarters, Alamogordo, Tularosa,
Holloman AFB, Orogrande, Downtown El Paso, West El Paso,
Upper Valley, East and Northeast El Paso, Socorro, Fort Bliss,
Hueco Tanks, Loma Linda, Cornudas, Dell City, Salt Flat,
Sierra Blanca, Fabens, Fort Hancock, Tornillo,
and Indian Hot Springs
1259 PM MDT Tue Jun 25 2024

.NOW...
Cumulus development has begun over the elevated terrain as of the
noon time hour with scattered thunderstorms initially forming over
the east slopes of the Sacramento Mountains. Activity through 2PM
will be confined mainly to this area and also the Black
Range/upper Gila Wilderness before further daytime heating and
enhanced lifting along subsequent outflow boundaries drives
lowland rain chances. Any lowland activity today will primarily be
along the AZ/NM state line and into central New Mexico between
5-9PM.

Water vapor imagery shows the center of the upper high over far
west Texas this afternoon. Winds aloft are very light with cloud
layer mean winds 5 to 10 knots. Storm motion will be slow today
with showers drifting to due east. Flooding risk will be
heightened by westward moving outflow and storm propagation
becoming nearly stationary over a single location. KEPZ`s 12Z
sounding showing PW of 1.18" confirms at least a chance of
localized flooding across portions of the Gila Wilderness and
Sacramento Mountains this afternoon and a few flooding product
may be issued. Storms are not expected to be severe today. Shower
coverage will diminish after sunset tonight.

$$

Dennhardt