Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
389
FNUS74 KEPZ 082256
FWSEPZ
Spot Forecast for Trout...U.S. Forest Service
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
456 PM MDT Tue Jul 8 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 MDT on July 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will gradually diminish this
evening after dark with some outflows related to the showers and
storms. Otherwise, winds will become light and variable, driven by
terrain. This will remain the case through much of the period
though prevailing flow will be from the south. More scattered showers
and thunderstorms will development again in the afternoon with
gusty winds and heavy rains the main concerns.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
late in the evening.
CWR.................40 percent decreasing to 10 percent.
Min temperature.....57-62.
Max humidity........60-75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable winds 5 to 6 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms in the
evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (79900 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (11400 knot-ft) late in the
night.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 7 mph shifting to the
southeast 9 to 10 mph in the late evening and
overnight.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........47 47 42 24 24 15
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE S CHC NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE S CHC NONE NONE NONE
CWR.............40 40 20 10 10 10
Temp............86 76 70 67 64 61
RH..............23 33 42 50 56 63
20 ft wind......S 5 S 5 S 5 SE 6 SE 6 SE 5
20 ft wind gust.14 14 14 15 15 14
Transport wind..SW 7 SW 7 SE 10 SE 10 S 9 S 9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..80 80 13 13 11 11
Ventrate Cat....GOOD GOOD POOR POOR POOR POOR
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms early in the
afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
late in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 50 percent.
Max temperature.....84-96.
Min humidity........17-23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph late in
the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (18300 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to very good (117300 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 7 mph shifting to the
northeast around 8 mph in the late morning and
early afternoon, then shifting to the south
around 9 mph late in the afternoon.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........8 8 8 9 9 9 22 22 22 46 46 46
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONESCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONESCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 30 30 30 50 50 50
Temp............60 64 68 73 77 82 84 87 88 89 89 88
RH..............64 55 50 42 35 29 25 23 21 20 20 21
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..4 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.13 13 13 12 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 13
Transp wind dir.SE SE SE SE NE NE NE NE S S S S
Transp wind spd.7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..18 18 18 18 87 87 87 87 117 117 117 117
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR GD GD GD GD VGD VGD VGD VGD
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
CWR.................40 percent decreasing to 10 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....58-64.
Max humidity........45-59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph in the evening and
overnight becoming light. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms in the
evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good (108700 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (10200 knot-ft) late in the
night.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 11 mph.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........45 45 45 46 46 46 42 42 42 31 31 31
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC NONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC NONENONENONENONENONENONE
CWR.............40 40 40 40 40 40 10 10 10 10 10 10
Temp............86 82 76 73 71 69 67 66 65 63 62 61
RH..............22 25 30 35 38 40 42 44 46 48 50 51
20 FT wind dir..S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3
20 FT wind gust.13 13 13 12 12 12 12 12 12 9 9 9
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 11 11 11 11
Vrate kt-ft/1K..109 109 109 109 10 10 10 10 14 14 14 14
Ventrate Cat....VGD VGD VGD VGD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 50 percent in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....85-98.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 8 mph with gusts
to around 22 mph in the late morning and
afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (23500 knot-ft) increasing to excellent
(161800 knot-ft) in the late morning and
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 8 mph shifting to the
northwest 12 to 16 mph in the late morning and
afternoon.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........21 21 21 12 12 12 14 14 14 37 37 37
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONECHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONECHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 50 50 50 50 50 50
Temp............61 65 70 75 79 83 86 88 90 91 91 89
RH..............51 45 40 34 29 24 21 19 18 18 18 19
20 FT wind dir..NE NE NE W W W W W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 5 5 5 8 8 8 8 8 8
20 FT wind gust.10 10 10 16 16 16 21 21 21 22 22 22
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.8 8 8 8 12 12 12 12 16 16 16 16
Vrate kt-ft/1K..24 24 24 24 162 162 162 162 223 223 223 223
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around
60. Highs in the lower 90s. Northwest winds around 9 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly clear. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the upper 80s. Northwest winds around 7 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s. Northwest winds around 6 mph.
$$
Forecaster...BROWN
Requested by...Donavan Albert
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517451.0/EPZ
.DELDT 07/08/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL francesca_chavez@firenet.gov,donavan.albert@usda.gov,donavan_albert@firenet.gov