Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
561
FNUS74 KEPZ 010015
FWSEPZ
Spot Forecast for Centerfire...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
615 PM MDT Mon Jun 30 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 MDT on June 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
We will see increasing moisture and rain chances over the next
several days. For tonight, we will have decent to good RH
recoveries to around 80% with just a slight chance for rain
overnight. Gusty outflow winds will be possible this evening then
diminishing later tonight. For Tuesday, we will see a little
better chance for rain with min RH`s in the 20`s. Even better rain
chances for Wednesday and Thursday, before drier air returns for
the Fourth of July.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 7 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms early in the
evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 11 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (83000 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (4800 knot-ft) late in the
night.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........73 73 60 45 45 26
Weather cov.....S CHC S CHC NONE NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC S CHC NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 10 0 0 0
Temp............84 71 63 58 55 52
RH..............17 31 48 60 66 77
20 ft wind......S 7 S 7 SE 6 E 4 E 4 E 3
20 ft wind gust.15 15 14 9 9 7
Mix hgt (ft)....6400 6400 600 600 500 500
Transport wind..S 14 S 14 E 15 E 15 E 11 E 11
Vrate kt-ft/1K..83 83 8 8 5 5
Ventrate Cat....GOOD GOOD POOR POOR POOR POOR
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming partly
sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph in
the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......9900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (24500 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (88900 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........13 13 12 23 23 55
Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 30 30 30
Temp............50 59 68 75 79 80
RH..............83 62 45 31 26 25
20 ft wind......E 2 E 2 E 4 SE 6 SE 6 SE 5
20 ft wind gust.7 7 10 12 12 12
Mix hgt (ft)....2400 2400 9900 9900 8900 8900
Transport wind..E 12 E 12 E 10 E 10 SE 12 SE 12
Vrate kt-ft/1K..25 25 79 79 89 89
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR GOOD GOOD GOOD GOOD
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then
slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
overnight.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph shifting to the east around
9 mph in the late evening and overnight, then
shifting to the south around 6 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4800 knot-ft).
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
Sky (%).........72 60 49 40
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).40 40 20 20
Temp............77 63 57 52
RH..............31 58 72 86
20 FT wind......S 4G9 SE 2G6 SE 2G3 SE 2G5
Mix hgt (ft)....2600 2600 800 800
Transport wind..S 10 S 10 E 9 S 6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..28 28 7 5
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then
showers and thunderstorms likely in the
afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 7 mph shifting to the west 7 to 11
mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (14900 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to fair (51600 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
Sky (%).........41 61 76
Weather cov.....S CHC S CHC LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC S CHC LIKELY
Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 70
Temp............50 65 74
RH..............93 56 35
20 FT wind......S 3G7 S 4G8 S 5G9
Mix hgt (ft)....2100 8200 5600
Transport wind..S 7 W 7 W 11
Vrate kt-ft/1K..15 52 45
Ventrate Cat....POOR FAIR FAIR
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Light
winds.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs
in the upper 70s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 80s.
Light winds.
$$
Forecaster...BRICE
Requested by...Joshua Evans
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517004.0/EPZ
.DELDT 06/30/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov