224
FNUS74 KEPZ 061827
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Feeley Rx...USFS
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
1127 AM MST Thu Mar 6 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 MST on March 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MST THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
Dry and windy conditions are expected this afternoon beneath
mostly cloudy to cloudy skies. Winds will top out around 25 MPH
with gusts up to 50 MPH generally from the west or southwest. By
this evening, moisture will increase. This increase in moisture
will lead to scattered rain and snow showers tonight, lasting
throughout much of the day tomorrow. Winds will remain breezy for
Friday though only topping out between 15 and 20 MPH from the
west.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. West winds 24 to 26 mph with gusts to
                    around 48 mph.
Mixing height.......7800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 44 to 51 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (333300 knot-ft).

TIME (MST)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........95     95     85
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0
Temp............57     54     50
RH..............22     24     42
20 ft wind......SW 26  SW 26  W 24
20 ft wind gust.48     48     48
Mix hgt (ft)....7200   7800   7800
Transport wind..SW 51  SW 44  SW 44
Vrate kt-ft/1K..333    350    350
Ventrate Cat....EXNT   EXNT   EXNT

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance
    of rain and snow showers.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 29.
Max humidity........81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 12 to 17 mph. Gusts up to 37 mph
                    early in the evening.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 16 to 24 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good (116200 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
                    (13800 knot-ft) in the late evening and
                    overnight.

TIME (MST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........42     42     57     52     52     41
Weather cov.....NONE   S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).10     20     20     20     20     20
Temp............46     41     38     36     34     32
RH..............47     57     64     67     69     72
20 ft wind......W 17   W 17   W 13   W 12   W 12   W 12
20 ft wind gust.37     37     26     23     23     24
Mix hgt (ft)....4300   4300   900    900    1300   1300
Transport wind..W 24   W 24   W 17   W 17   W 16   W 16
Vrate kt-ft/1K..116    116    14     14     19     19
Ventrate Cat....VYGD   VYGD   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of snow
                    showers early in the morning, then snow showers
                    likely in the late morning and afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 45.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 13 to 21 mph. Gusts up to 40 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph increasing to 33 to 37
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (71800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to very good (143700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (MST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........52        69        93        88
Weather cov.....S CHC     LIKELY    LIKELY    LIKELY
Weather type....SNSHWR    SNSHWR    SNSHWR    SNSHWR
Tstm cov........NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).20        70        70        70
Temp............30        37        40        40
RH..............78        67        59        59
20 FT wind......W 13G26   SW 18G38  SW 21G40  W 20G38
Mix hgt (ft)....3000      3000      4300      4400
Transport wind..SW 20     SW 20     SW 33     W 37
Vrate kt-ft/1K..72        72        119       144
Ventrate Cat....GOOD      GOOD      VYGD      VYGD

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Snow showers likely. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in
the upper 40s. West winds around 12 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the upper 50s.
Northeast winds around 6 mph.
.MONDAY...
Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs around 60. Southeast winds
around 9 mph.

$$
Forecaster...BROWN
Requested by...Harry Romero
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2505141.0/EPZ
.DELDT 03/06/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov