994
FNUS74 KEPZ 011709
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Redstone RX...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
1109 AM MDT Tue Oct 1 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 MDT on October 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Continued dry through the forecast period. Temperatures moderating
some but still above normal. No significant winds expected until
possibly Friday afternoon with a cool front and breezy southeast winds.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........7      7      9      14     14
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1
Temp............58     65     72     75     77
RH..............45     34     26     24     24
20 ft wind......SE 5   SE 5   S 5    S 5    S 5
20 ft wind gust.9      9      9      12     12
Mix hgt (ft)....900    5100   5100   6600   6600
Transport wind..S 10   SE 9   SE 9   SE 7   SE 7
Haines index....3      3      4      5      4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..9      31     31     33     33
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 9 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 6 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........15     15     10     7      7      8
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............65     59     57     54     53     52
RH..............29     34     37     41     43     44
20 ft wind......SE 5   SE 5   SE 3   E 2    E 2    NE 3
20 ft wind gust.12     12     7      3      3      7
Mix hgt (ft)....3100   3100   BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100
Transport wind..S 9    S 9    S 7    S 7    NW 6   NW 6
Haines index....3      3      3      3      4      5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..25     25     0      0      0      0
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........17 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......10300 ft AGL increasing to 12400 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 11 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4400 knot-ft) increasing to very good
                    (104500 knot-ft) in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........9         7         13        31
Weather cov.....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............50        60        73        78
RH..............46        36        20        17
20 FT wind......N 4G7     NW 5G9    NW 5G9    W 5G9
Mix hgt (ft)....600       600       10300     12400
Transport wind..NW 8      NW 8      N 11      NW 10
Haines index....5         5         5         6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4         4         105       124
Ventrate Cat....POOR      POOR      VYGD      VYGD

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. East
winds around 6 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Southeast winds around 6 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 70s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...HEFNER
Requested by...Silver City Interagency Dispatch Center
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2423361.0/EPZ
.DELDT 10/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov