615
FNUS74 KEPZ 281806
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Mulberry RX...USFS
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
1106 AM MST Fri Feb 28 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 MST on March 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...
For Saturday, warm and windy conditions are forecast with low
relative humidity. Winds start light from the southeast, increasing
by the afternoon to 15 to 25 mph. Fire danger will be high with
near-critical conditions and excellent ventilation. Overnight
recoveries will be decent Saturday night. Relative humidities
improve on Sunday as the breezy winds shift westerly during the
day. Critical fire danger is expected for Monday due to strong
west-southwest winds. Cooler temperatures are forecast for Sunday.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........11 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 10 to 19 mph shifting to the
                    south around 21 mph with gusts to around 39 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 11 to 18 mph increasing to south
                    around 26 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9200 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (89800 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (165700
                    knot-ft) late in the afternoon.

TIME (MST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........15     14     14     16     18     18
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............45     55     64     68     69     67
RH..............26     22     16     13     11     12
20 ft wind......SE 10  SE 14  SE 16  SE 19  S 21   S 21
20 ft wind gust.21     25     31     33     39     39
Mix hgt (ft)....100    800    3000   5000   6900   6900
Transport wind..SE 11  SE 11  S 18   S 18   S 26   S 26
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1      9      50     90     156    166
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   FAIR   GOOD   EXNT   EXNT

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 38.
Max humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 15 to 18 mph with gusts to
                    around 37 mph shifting to the west 10 to 13 mph
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 19 to 25 mph shifting to the west
                    around 14 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good (109500 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
                    (0 knot-ft) in the late evening and overnight.

TIME (MST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........16     16     12     8      8      9
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............64     55     51     47     42     39
RH..............13     18     23     31     37     44
20 ft wind......S 18   S 18   SW 15  W 13   W 13   W 10
20 ft wind gust.37     37     25     24     24     17
Mix hgt (ft)....4400   400    BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100
Transport wind..SW 25  SW 25  SW 19  SW 19  W 14   W 14
Vrate kt-ft/1K..110    1      0      0      0      0
Ventrate Cat....VYGD   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 to 18 mph.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 14 to 22 mph increasing to around 25 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (19600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to very good (111100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (MST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........15        10        5         9
Weather cov.....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
Temp............38        44        56        59
RH..............48        43        27        20
20 FT wind......W 10G20   W 16G32   W 18G32   W 17G31
Mix hgt (ft)....1400      1400      4500      4800
Transport wind..W 14      W 14      W 22      W 25
Vrate kt-ft/1K..20        20        100       111
Ventrate Cat....POOR      POOR      GOOD      VYGD

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s.
West winds around 14 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs around 50. West winds
around 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs around 60. West winds
around 9 mph.

$$
Forecaster...ARONSON
Requested by...Silver City Interagency Dispatch Center
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2504095.2/EPZ
.DELDT 02/28/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov