Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
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FNUS54 KEPZ 081903
FWFEPZ

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
103 PM MDT Tue Jul 8 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Daily thunderstorm chances will continue, especially over the area
mountains but drier air will be filtering in through Friday.
Expect high temperatures on the lowlands to get into the upper 90s
to around 105 by Thursday which will lower RH`s into the mid
teens, but the mountains will generally remain in the 20s. Winds
will be on the light side through Thursday and a slightly breezy
day with west to northwest winds for Friday. Moisture starts to
return for the weekend with an uptick in thunderstorm chances and
RH`s.

&&

...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...

...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve   (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming    (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso   (6900 ft)

Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.



NMZ110-091300-
 Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
103 PM MDT Tue Jul 8 2025

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....55-60.
*    Below 7500 ft....60-65.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....54-59 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....58-63 percent.
*    24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) until 1200, then
                      partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....84-89.
*    Below 7500 ft....92-97.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....13-18 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....14-19 percent.
*    24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......9400 ft AGL increasing to 14300 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (120200 knot-ft).

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....57-62.
*    Below 7500 ft....62-67.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....46-51 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....46-51 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.

.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming
                      partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....84-89.
*    Below 7500 ft....92-97.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....14-19 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....13-17 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......10200 ft AGL increasing to 13800 ft AGL in
                      the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (142100 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
59 to 64. Highs 90 to 95. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 57 to 62. Highs 86 to 91. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
58 to 63. Highs 86 to 91. West winds around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ111-091300-
 Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
103 PM MDT Tue Jul 8 2025

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....69-73.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........49-54 percent.
*    24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....98-103.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........14-16 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL increasing to 12500 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (90400 knot-ft).

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....71-75.
* Max humidity........41-46 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.

.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the
                      afternoon.
* Max temperature.....98-103.
* Min humidity........12-16 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL increasing to 14600 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (160000 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
71 to 76. Highs 97 to 102. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs 94 to 99. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs in the 90s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

NMZ112-091300-
 South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
103 PM MDT Tue Jul 8 2025

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....68-72.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........56-61 percent.
*    24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....95-100.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........16-20 percent.
*    24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL increasing to 11000 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (93500 knot-ft).

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....70-75.
* Max humidity........43-48 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.

.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the
                      afternoon.
* Max temperature.....97-102.
* Min humidity........14-18 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL increasing to 13900 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (156900 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
71 to 76. Highs 99 to 104. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 72. Highs 92 to 97. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 90 to 95. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ113-091300-
 Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
103 PM MDT Tue Jul 8 2025

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....54-59.
*    Below 7500 ft....60-65.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....74-79 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....72-77 percent.
*    24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                      southwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....76-81.
*    Below 7500 ft....86-91.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....32-37 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....23-28 percent.
*    24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                      south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL increasing to 10500 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 5 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (67500 knot-ft).

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....56-61.
*    Below 7500 ft....62-67.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....60-65 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....56-61 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.

.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the
                      afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....79-84.
*    Below 7500 ft....89-94.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....24-29 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....18-22 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL increasing to 11700 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 5 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (81300 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 62 to 67. Highs 87 to 92. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
57 to 62. Highs 79 to 84. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 56 to 61. Highs 79 to 84. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

TXZ055-091300-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
 El Paso County-
103 PM MDT Tue Jul 8 2025

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....73-76.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........53-58 percent.
*    24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....98-102.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........16-18 percent.
*    24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL increasing to 11600 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (102400 knot-ft).

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....74-76.
* Max humidity........43-48 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.

.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....99-103.
* Min humidity........15-17 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL increasing to 14200 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (125200 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid to upper 70s. Highs 101 to 105. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs in the 90s. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the lower to mid 90s. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TXZ056-091300-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
 Hudspeth County-
103 PM MDT Tue Jul 8 2025

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....68-73.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........68-73 percent.
*    24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....92-97.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........19-23 percent.
*    24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL increasing to 10100 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (109400 knot-ft).

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....67-72.
* Max humidity........61-66 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.

.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....95-100.
* Min humidity........17-21 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL increasing to 11400 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 5 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (75600 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 96 to 101. West winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs 88 to 93. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 87 to 92. East winds
around 5 mph.

$$
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