Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
119
FNUS54 KEPZ 171904
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
104 PM MDT Thu Apr 17 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT FRIDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT FRIDAY...
.DISCUSSION...
Somewhat cooler air will yield modest improvements in overnight
recoveries tonight, but another day of critical fire weather
conditions is expected for Friday. Min RH values will drop to
around 10 percent with 20-foot winds topping out 20 to 25 MPH. The
Gila will see higher min RH values and lower wind speeds. A Red
Flag Warning is in effect for Friday for all but the Gila. Venting
will be excellent area wide.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-181230-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
104 PM MDT Thu Apr 17 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....30-34.
* Below 7500 ft....36-41.
* 24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....56-61 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....46-51 percent.
* 24 hr trend......25 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. Southwest winds around 25 mph becoming
west around 15 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 38 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....50-55.
* Below 7500 ft....60-65.
* 24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....18-23 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....14-19 percent.
* 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 33 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL increasing to 10100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 45 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (406300 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of snow
showers and slight chance of rain showers.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....27-32.
* Below 7500 ft....33-38.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....73-78 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....66-71 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 28 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of snow
showers and rain showers.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....41-46.
* Below 7500 ft....52-57.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....27-32 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....18-23 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds around 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 23 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......9900 ft AGL increasing to 13500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (314000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Warmer, clear. Lows 27 to 32. Highs 63 to 68. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 35 to 40. Highs 69 to 74. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 38 to 43. Highs 70 to 75. West
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-181230-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
104 PM MDT Thu Apr 17 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT FRIDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT FRIDAY...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Patchy blowing
dust in the evening.
* Min temperature.....46-51.
* 24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........32-37 percent.
* 24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 45 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy blowing
dust after 1200.
* Max temperature.....70-75.
* 24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........8-12 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. West winds around 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 41 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL increasing to 11400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 35 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (362400 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Patchy blowing
dust in the evening.
* Min temperature.....40-44.
* Max humidity........54-59 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. West winds around 25 mph decreasing to
around 15 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 28 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers.
* Max temperature.....62-67.
* Min humidity........13-15 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds around 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......8400 ft AGL increasing to 13000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (323800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 34 to 39. Highs in the lower to mid 70s.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 40 to 45. Highs in the lower to mid
80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 44 to 49. Highs 80 to 85. West winds
around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-181230-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
104 PM MDT Thu Apr 17 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT FRIDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT FRIDAY...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Patchy blowing
dust in the evening.
* Min temperature.....49-54.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........25-29 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. Southwest winds around 30 mph
decreasing to around 20 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 43 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Patchy blowing
dust after 1200.
* Max temperature.....72-77.
* 24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........8-10 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 39 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......8100 ft AGL increasing to 12100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 35 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (398100 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Patchy blowing
dust in the evening.
* Min temperature.....42-47.
* Max humidity........40-45 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. Southwest winds around 25 mph
decreasing to around 15 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 30 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers in the morning, then chance
of rain showers in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....63-68.
* Min humidity........13-17 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 24 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......9100 ft AGL increasing to 13800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (341500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 35 to 40. Highs 70 to 75. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 41 to 46. Highs 79 to 84. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47 to 52. Highs 81 to 86. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-181230-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
104 PM MDT Thu Apr 17 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT FRIDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT FRIDAY...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....37-42.
* Below 7500 ft....46-51.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....36-41 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....26-31 percent.
* 24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. Southwest winds 25 to 30 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 51 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy blowing
dust after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....54-59.
* Below 7500 ft....63-68.
* 24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....13-17 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....10-12 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. Southwest winds 25 to 30 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 45 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL increasing to 11600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 45 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (427200 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....30-35.
* Below 7500 ft....35-40.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....61-66 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....55-60 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. Southwest winds around 25 mph becoming
west around 15 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 30 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers and snow showers in the
morning, then chance of rain showers and snow
showers in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....47-52.
* Below 7500 ft....55-60.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....26-31 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....23-28 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds around 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 25 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL increasing to 11000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (280700 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and slight chance of
snow showers. Lows 29 to 34. Highs 61 to 66. West winds around
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 36 to 41. Highs 69 to 74. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 41 to 46. Highs 72 to 77. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-181230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
104 PM MDT Thu Apr 17 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT FRIDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT FRIDAY...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Areas of
blowing dust in the evening.
* Min temperature.....57-59.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........28-33 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 39 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Areas of
blowing dust after 1200.
* Max temperature.....76-80.
* 24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........7-9 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 32 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL increasing to 12400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 35 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (416900 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Areas of
blowing dust in the evening.
* Min temperature.....Around 50.
* Max humidity........33-35 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. West winds around 25 mph becoming
southwest around 15 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 30 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....68-72.
* Min humidity........15-17 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 25 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL increasing to 11900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (304600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower to mid 40s. Highs in the lower
to mid 70s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Warmer. Mostly clear. Lows near 50. Highs in the 80s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 50s. Highs in
the lower to mid 80s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-181230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
104 PM MDT Thu Apr 17 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT FRIDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT FRIDAY...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Patchy blowing
dust in the evening.
* Min temperature.....57-62.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........29-34 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds around 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 43 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Areas of
blowing dust after 1200.
* Max temperature.....76-81.
* 24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........9-13 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 38 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......9000 ft AGL increasing to 12700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 40 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (463200 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Areas of
blowing dust in the evening.
* Min temperature.....46-50.
* Max humidity........31-36 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 33 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....70-75.
* Min humidity........12-17 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 28 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......7900 ft AGL increasing to 12300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (301600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows near 40. Highs 70 to 75. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Warmer, clear. Lows 44 to 49. Highs 81 to 86. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 50s. Highs
80 to 85. West winds around 5 mph.
$$