824
FNUS54 KEPZ 211135
FWFEPZ

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
535 AM MDT Thu Aug 21 2025

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure aloft, to our north is spinning in drier air from the
NE today. This means a significant lowering of rain and storm chances
over the Sacramento mountains, Far West Texas, and the NM lowlands
from the Rio Grande eastward. Temperatures will continue 2-4 degrees
warmer than average through the weekend. RH will be dropping through
the rest of the week as drier air moves over all but the Gila region.
Winds will be light overnight, with typical occasional afternoon
breezes. Thus dry most areas through Sunday/Monday, with only the Gila
seeing continuing rain/storm chances. Moisture return next MON/TUE,
with increasing rain and storm chances for all areas TUE and WED.

&&

...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...

...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve   (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming    (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso   (6900 ft)

Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.



NMZ110-211830-
 Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
535 AM MDT Thu Aug 21 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) until 1200, then
                      partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered
                      showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....77-82.
*    Below 7500 ft....85-90.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....29-34 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....26-31 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL increasing to 11600 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (111200 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Isolated
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....54-59.
*    Below 7500 ft....60-65.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....70-75 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....65-70 percent.
*    24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Scattered
                      showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....77-82.
*    Below 7500 ft....85-90.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....25-30 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....21-25 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL increasing to 10700 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (78200 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 58 to 63. Highs 83 to 88. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 57 to 62. Highs 82 to 87. South winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
57 to 62. Highs 81 to 86. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ111-211830-
 Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
535 AM MDT Thu Aug 21 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....90-94.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........20-24 percent.
*    24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......6700 ft AGL increasing to 10900 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (148900 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....65-69.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........52-57 percent.
*    24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....91-96.
* Min humidity........19-21 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL increasing to 11400 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (116000 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs in the
lower to mid 90s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs in the lower
to mid 90s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 90 to
95. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ112-211830-
 South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
535 AM MDT Thu Aug 21 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....89-94.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........22-26 percent.
*    24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...5 percent.
* Chc of precip.......5 percent.
* Mixing height.......6700 ft AGL increasing to 10800 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (106900 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....65-69.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........59-64 percent.
*    24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....89-94.
* Min humidity........19-23 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL increasing to 10900 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (90500 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 90 to 95.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 89 to
94. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 89 to
94. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ113-211830-
 Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
535 AM MDT Thu Aug 21 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....72-77.
*    Below 7500 ft....81-86.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....37-42 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....29-34 percent.
*    24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...5 percent.
* Chc of precip.......5 percent.
* Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL increasing to 10000 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (100300 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....49-54.
*    Below 7500 ft....57-62.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....80-85 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....67-72 percent.
*    24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....72-77.
*    Below 7500 ft....81-86.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....34-39 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....25-30 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7900-9700 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (77200 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 56 to 61. Highs 80 to 85.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 55 to 60. Highs 79 to 84. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 56 to 61. Highs 79 to 84. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.

$$

TXZ055-211830-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
 El Paso County-
535 AM MDT Thu Aug 21 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....90-94.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........22-26 percent.
*    24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7900 ft AGL increasing to 11100 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (133600 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....Around 70.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........56-61 percent.
*    24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....91-95.
* Min humidity........20-22 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL increasing to 11100 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (120000 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows near 70. Highs in the lower to mid 90s.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows near 70. Highs in the lower to mid 90s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the lower
to mid 90s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TXZ056-211830-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
 Hudspeth County-
535 AM MDT Thu Aug 21 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....86-91.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........27-32 percent.
*    24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL increasing to 10100 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (117400 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....63-67.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........72-77 percent.
*    24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....87-92.
* Min humidity........24-29 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL increasing to 10500 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (103300 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 62 to 67. Highs 88 to 93. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 88 to 93.
East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the 60s. Highs 88 to 93.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$