Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
594
FNUS54 KEPZ 161904
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
104 PM MDT Fri May 16 2025
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM MDT SATURDAY...
.DISCUSSION...
Worsening fire weather conditions are expected through the
weekend. For Saturday, winds begin to increase from the southwest
with continued dry conditions, resulting in elevated to critical
fire danger. Windy conditions arrive Sunday and Monday, shifting
westerly with a frontal passage. Critical to extreme fire danger
is expected Sunday and possibly Monday depending on when the front
pushes through. Temperatures will be near or below normal through
early next week with no threat of rain.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-171245-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
104 PM MDT Fri May 16 2025
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....41-46.
* Below 7500 ft....46-51.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....25-30 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....23-28 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 23 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 1200,
then mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....64-69.
* Below 7500 ft....70-79.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....8-10 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....6-8 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 24 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......11400-12700 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (347200 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....37-41.
* Below 7500 ft....42-47.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....33-38 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....26-31 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 33 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....62-69.
* Below 7500 ft....70-77.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....11-15 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....9-13 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds around 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 33 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL increasing to 10200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 35 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (293700 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 39 to 44. Highs 65 to 70. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 37 to 42. Highs 73 to 78. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 42 to 47. Highs 79 to 84. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-171245-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
104 PM MDT Fri May 16 2025
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....53-58.
* 24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........19-24 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 25 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 1200,
then mostly sunny (10-20 percent). Patchy
blowing dust after 1200.
* Max temperature.....82-87.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........4-6 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 24 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......11300 ft AGL increasing to 13500 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (368500 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....48-52.
* Max humidity........18-23 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds around 20 mph
decreasing to around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 37 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Patchy blowing dust in
the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....81-86.
* Min humidity........7-9 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 37 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL increasing to 11900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (333300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Clear. Areas of blowing dust in the afternoon and
evening. Lows 48 to 53. Highs 77 to 82. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 45 to 50. Highs in the lower to mid 80s.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 50 to 55. Highs near 90. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-171245-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
104 PM MDT Fri May 16 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM MDT SATURDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
* Min temperature.....56-61.
* 24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........15-19 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 25 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 1200,
then mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Patchy
blowing dust after 1200.
* Max temperature.....82-87.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........6-8 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 25 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......10800 ft AGL increasing to 15000 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (429600 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....51-56.
* Max humidity........14-18 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds around 20 mph
decreasing to around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 29 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent). Areas of
blowing dust in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....81-86.
* Min humidity........6-8 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 31 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL increasing to 11700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (337600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Clear. Areas of blowing dust in the afternoon and
evening. Lows 50 to 55. Highs 78 to 83. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 46 to 51. Highs 80 to 85. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 50 to 55. Highs 85 to 90. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-171245-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
104 PM MDT Fri May 16 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM MDT SATURDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....45-50.
* Below 7500 ft....51-56.
* 24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....22-27 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....18-22 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 31 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....64-69.
* Below 7500 ft....70-78.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....11-15 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....10-12 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 32 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......10400 ft AGL increasing to 13800 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 35 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (441000 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....42-47.
* Below 7500 ft....47-52.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....19-23 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....17-21 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds around 20 mph
decreasing to around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 33 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....63-68.
* Below 7500 ft....70-78.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....10-12 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....7-9 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 37 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL increasing to 10900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 40 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (340100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Breezy, clear. Lows 45 to 50. Highs 68 to 73. West
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 40 to 45. Highs 71 to 76. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 43 to 48. Highs 75 to 80. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-171245-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
104 PM MDT Fri May 16 2025
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
* Min temperature.....63-65.
* 24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........16-18 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 1200,
then mostly sunny (15-25 percent). Patchy
blowing dust after 1200.
* Max temperature.....87-91.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........6-8 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds around 10 mph
increasing to around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 24 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......9100 ft AGL increasing to 14600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (389100 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....56-60.
* Max humidity........14-18 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds around 20 mph decreasing
to around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 28 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent). Areas of
blowing dust in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....85-89.
* Min humidity........6-11 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 30 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL increasing to 11700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (300000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Clear. Areas of blowing dust in the afternoon and
evening. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower to mid 80s.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower to mid 50s. Highs in the
lower to mid 80s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Highs
near 90. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-171245-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
104 PM MDT Fri May 16 2025
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
* Min temperature.....60-64.
* 24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........17-19 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 24 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 1200,
then mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Patchy
blowing dust after 1200.
* Max temperature.....85-90.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........8-10 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 24 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......9800 ft AGL increasing to 14900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (410000 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....55-59.
* Max humidity........16-20 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds around 20 mph decreasing
to around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 28 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Areas of
blowing dust in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....85-90.
* Min humidity........5-7 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds around 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 29 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL increasing to 12500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (295900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Clear. Patchy blowing dust in the afternoon and evening.
Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Highs 81 to 86. West winds 10 to 15
mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower to mid 50s. Highs 80 to 85.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 50s. Highs
85 to 90. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
Aronson