343
FNUS54 KEPZ 301220
FWFEPZ

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
620 AM MDT Sun Jun 30 2024


.DISCUSSION...
As in the recent pass, the main threat for the fire zones (mainly the
Sacs burn scars) will be heavy rainfall and flash flooding. Fire
development and growth potential should remain low through the period.
Storms today could produce strong and erratic winds (gusts 50-60 mph)
in their vicinity. The week ahead does not show much of any significant
non-thunderstorm winds. Expect larger scale wind shifts Wednesday (north).

&&

...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...

...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve   (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming    (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso   (6900 ft)

Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.




NMZ110-301845-
 Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
620 AM MDT Sun Jun 30 2024

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) until 1200, then
                      partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered
                      showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....83-88.
*    Below 7500 ft....89-94.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....26-31 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....26-31 percent.
*    24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......6700 ft AGL increasing to 11100 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (140400 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                      partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Numerous
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
                      then scattered showers and thunderstorms
                      after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....56-60.
*    Below 7500 ft....62-67.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....77-82 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....74-79 percent.
*    24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......80 percent.
* LAL.................5 until 2400, then 4.
* Haines index........4.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Isolated
                      showers and thunderstorms in the morning,
                      then numerous showers and thunderstorms in
                      the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....76-81.
*    Below 7500 ft....85-90.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....37-42 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....32-37 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 1200, then 5.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL increasing to 9500 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (106000 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with numerous showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 61 to 66. Highs 83 to 88. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 60 to 65. Highs 81 to 86. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 86 to 91. North winds around
5 mph.

$$

NMZ111-301845-
 Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
620 AM MDT Sun Jun 30 2024

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT EARLY THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) until 1200, then
                      partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered
                      showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....95-100.
*    24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........24-28 percent.
*    24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL increasing to 11500 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (147200 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                      partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Numerous
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
                      then scattered showers and thunderstorms
                      after midnight.
* Min temperature.....68-72.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........69-74 percent.
*    24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                      northeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 20 mph.
* Chc of precip.......80 percent.
* LAL.................5 until 2400, then 4.
* Haines index........3.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered
                      showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....93-98.
* Min humidity........25-30 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                      south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL increasing to 11400 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (111300 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 94 to 99. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows near 70. Highs 90 to 95. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 94 to 99. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ112-301845-
 South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
620 AM MDT Sun Jun 30 2024

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT EARLY THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) until 1200, then
                      partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Isolated
                      showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....96-101.
*    24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........23-27 percent.
*    24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL increasing to 11100 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (147900 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
                      then isolated showers and thunderstorms after
                      midnight.
* Min temperature.....69-73.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........60-65 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 21 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 2.
* Haines index........3.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming
                      partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the
                      afternoon.
* Max temperature.....93-98.
* Min humidity........22-27 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL increasing to 12300 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (149900 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 70 to 75. Highs 95 to 100. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 71 to 76. Highs 94 to 99. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 68 to 73. Highs 95 to 100. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ113-301845-
 Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
620 AM MDT Sun Jun 30 2024

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) until 1200, then
                      partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Isolated
                      showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....79-84.
*    Below 7500 ft....86-90.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....35-40 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....28-33 percent.
*    24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL increasing to 9000 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (129500 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Isolated
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....53-58.
*    Below 7500 ft....61-66.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....82-87 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....70-75 percent.
*    24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 23 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........3.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming
                      partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered
                      showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....77-82.
*    Below 7500 ft....85-90.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....37-42 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....28-33 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......7700-9600 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (118700 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 66. Highs 86 to 91. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 61 to 66. Highs 84 to 89. West winds around 5 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 86 to 91. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.

$$

TXZ055-301845-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
 El Paso County-
620 AM MDT Sun Jun 30 2024

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT EARLY THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent) until 1200, then partly
                      cloudy (35-45 percent). Isolated showers and
                      thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....98-102.
*    24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........20-24 percent.
*    24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1500, then 3.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL increasing to 11400 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (163000 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....74-78.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........55-60 percent.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........3.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....95-99.
* Min humidity........20-22 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL increasing to 12400 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (108300 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s to lower 80s. Highs 99 to 103.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 80. Highs 98 to 102. West winds around
5 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 70s. Highs 97 to 101. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.

$$

TXZ056-301845-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
 Hudspeth County-
620 AM MDT Sun Jun 30 2024

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent) until 1200, then
                      partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Isolated
                      showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....96-101.
*    24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........22-26 percent.
*    24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1500, then 3.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......7100 ft AGL increasing to 11500 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (155000 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Isolated
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....69-74.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........67-72 percent.
*    24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 20 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........3.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....93-98.
* Min humidity........20-24 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL increasing to 12000 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (137000 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 96 to 101.
South winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 70s. Highs 96 to 101. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 94 to 99.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

Hefner