431
FNUS54 KEPZ 061146
FWFEPZ

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
546 AM MDT Wed Aug 6 2025

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT SATURDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
Fire weather concerns remain low through the forecast period. Dry
thunderstorms are a threat this afternoon in area mountains. Dry
conditions expected otherwise with light winds. Low storm chances
persist in the mountains late week with dry lightning possible.
Storm chances increase area-wide this weekend, but only marginally
with isolated to scattered coverage. Temperatures stay hot for
the rest of the week, cooling towards normal early next week.

&&

...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...

...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve   (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming    (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso   (6900 ft)

Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.



NMZ110-062000-
 Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
546 AM MDT Wed Aug 6 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) until 1200, then
                      partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
                      of rain showers and dry thunderstorms after
                      1200.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....83-88.
*    Below 7500 ft....90-98.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....15-19 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....11-15 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                      southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......11800 ft AGL increasing to 15100 ft AGL in
                      the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (101100 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
                      of rain showers and dry thunderstorms in the
                      evening.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....56-61.
*    Below 7500 ft....61-66.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....42-47 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....41-46 percent.
*    24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.

.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) then becoming
                      partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of rain
                      showers and dry thunderstorms in the
                      afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....85-90.
*    Below 7500 ft....91-99.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....13-17 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....11-15 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......9900 ft AGL increasing to 15300 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (124100 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
61 to 66. Highs 90 to 95. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 66. Highs 89 to 94. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
59 to 64. Highs 85 to 90. Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ111-062000-
 Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
546 AM MDT Wed Aug 6 2025

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....100-106.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........9-11 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                      southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL increasing to 15500 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (133800 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....68-72.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........30-35 percent.
*    24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....100-104.
* Min humidity........10-12 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......8400 ft AGL increasing to 15500 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (166400 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs 98 to 103. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 98 to 103. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs 94 to 99. Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ112-062000-
 South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
546 AM MDT Wed Aug 6 2025

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....98-106.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........12-14 percent.
*    24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL increasing to 14400 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (98600 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....68-72.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........38-43 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....98-103.
* Min humidity........11-13 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL increasing to 15000 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (124300 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 98 to 103. Light
winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs
98 to 103. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs 94 to 99. Light winds.

$$

NMZ113-062000-
 Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
546 AM MDT Wed Aug 6 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) until 1200, then
                      partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
                      of rain showers and dry thunderstorms after
                      1200.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....80-89.
*    Below 7500 ft....90-95.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....21-26 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....15-19 percent.
*    24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......9700 ft AGL increasing to 14500 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (91100 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....55-60.
*    Below 7500 ft....61-68.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....46-51 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....41-46 percent.
*    24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.

.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the
                      afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....82-89.
*    Below 7500 ft....91-96.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....19-23 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....15-19 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......9100 ft AGL increasing to 14200 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (119400 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 66. Highs 89 to 94. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 62 to 67. Highs 88 to 93. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 65. Highs 83 to 88. Light winds.

$$

TXZ055-062000-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
 El Paso County-
546 AM MDT Wed Aug 6 2025

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT SATURDAY...

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....101-106.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........12-14 percent.
*    24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL increasing to 14400 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (118600 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....72-74.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........39-44 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....100-106.
* Min humidity........11-13 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL increasing to 15000 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (171400 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 100 to 104.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs 101 to 105.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs 96 to 100. Light winds.

$$

TXZ056-062000-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
 Hudspeth County-
546 AM MDT Wed Aug 6 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....98-105.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........13-15 percent.
*    24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL increasing to 14000 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (147400 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....65-70.
*    24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........53-58 percent.
*    24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....97-105.
* Min humidity........13-15 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL increasing to 13700 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (167400 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 98 to
103. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 98 to 103. Light
winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 94 to 99. Light winds.

$$

Aronson