Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS

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052
FNUS54 KEPZ 051837
FWFEPZ

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1237 PM MDT Sat Oct 5 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Sunday will feature very dry conditions along with near record
warmth. Min RH values will drop to near 10 percent. A front will
push through throughout the day bringing breezy conditions with
winds topping out 10 to 15 MPH. Thus, elevated to near critical
fire conditions are expected, especially west of the Rio Grande.
Monday will see slightly cooler temperatures with minor
improvements to RH. Venting will range good to very good.

&&

...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...

...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve   (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming    (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso   (6900 ft)

Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.




NMZ110-061230-
 Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
1237 PM MDT Sat Oct 5 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                      clear (5-15 percent).
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....48-53.
*    Below 7500 ft....52-57.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....29-34 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....30-35 percent.
*    24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....73-78.
*    Below 7500 ft....83-88.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....11-13 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....10-12 percent.
*    24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                      east in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL increasing to 13100 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (107900 knot-ft).

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....46-50.
*    Below 7500 ft....50-55.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....42-47 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....42-47 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....70-75.
*    Below 7500 ft....78-83.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....15-20 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....14-18 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL increasing to 12400 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (90900 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 48 to 53. Highs 76 to 81. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 48 to 53. Highs 76 to 81.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 49 to 54. Highs 76 to 81.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ111-061230-
 Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
1237 PM MDT Sat Oct 5 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....55-59.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........35-40 percent.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                      northeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....88-92.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........10-12 percent.
*    24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL increasing to 13500 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (116100 knot-ft).

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....55-59.
* Max humidity........37-42 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....83-87.
* Min humidity........14-16 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL increasing to 8700 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (84300 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 80s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Highs in the
mid to upper 80s. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Highs in
the mid to upper 80s. East winds around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ112-061230-
 South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
1237 PM MDT Sat Oct 5 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....55-60.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........38-43 percent.
*    24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                      northwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....87-92.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........10-14 percent.
*    24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the east
                      in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL increasing to 13700 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (149700 knot-ft).

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....53-57.
* Max humidity........45-50 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....82-87.
* Min humidity........14-18 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL increasing to 8900 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (74500 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the 50s. Highs 82 to 87. South winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Highs 83 to 88.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Highs 84 to 89.
South winds around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ113-061230-
 Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
1237 PM MDT Sat Oct 5 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....46-51.
*    Below 7500 ft....51-56.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....47-52 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....39-44 percent.
*    24 hr trend......21 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....69-74.
*    Below 7500 ft....76-81.
*    24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....21-26 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....17-21 percent.
*    24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL increasing to 8600 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (119300 knot-ft).

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....41-46.
*    Below 7500 ft....47-52.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....64-69 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....58-63 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....66-71.
*    Below 7500 ft....75-80.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....22-27 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....17-21 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......6700 ft AGL increasing to 11800 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (92900 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 46 to 51. Highs 74 to 79. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 49 to 54. Highs 76 to 81.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 49 to 54. Highs 75 to 80.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

TXZ055-061230-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
 El Paso County-
1237 PM MDT Sat Oct 5 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent).
* Min temperature.....59-63.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........38-43 percent.
*    24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....89-93.
*    24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........12-14 percent.
*    24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL increasing to 12500 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (155500 knot-ft).

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....58-62.
* Max humidity........46-51 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 20 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....83-87.
* Min humidity........18-20 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL increasing to 9300 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (85300 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows near 60. Highs in the mid to upper 80s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows near 60. Highs in the mid to upper 80s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s to
lower 90s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

TXZ056-061230-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
 Hudspeth County-
1237 PM MDT Sat Oct 5 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent).
* Min temperature.....55-59.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........42-47 percent.
*    24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                      southwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....84-89.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........13-15 percent.
*    24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph increasing to east
                      around 15 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL increasing to 10600 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (144100 knot-ft).

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent).
* Min temperature.....53-57.
* Max humidity........59-64 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 21 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....79-84.
* Min humidity........22-26 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL increasing to 7300 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (84600 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Highs 81 to 86.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Highs 82 to 87.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Highs 83 to 88.
South winds around 5 mph.

$$