014
FNUS54 KEPZ 030952
FWFEPZ

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
352 AM MDT Wed Jul 3 2024

.DISCUSSION...

Fire weather concerns are LOW on Wednesday. Isolated to scattered
showers and thunderstorms will be possible during the afternoon and
evening. Min RH values will be greater than 25 percent areawide, 30-
50 percent over the mountains. Temperatures will be similar to Tuesday
with partly to mostly cloudy skies. The possibility for new lightning
starts are low due to higher soil moisture within the mountains and
forested regions. Winds will be light under weak west/northwest flow.
Smoke ventilation rates will be Fair to Good.

&&

...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...

...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve   (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming    (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso   (6900 ft)

Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.


NMZ110-031815-
 Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
352 AM MDT Wed Jul 3 2024

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....77-82.
*    Below 7500 ft....85-90.
*    24 hr trend......2-5 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....24-29 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....27-32 percent.
*    24 hr trend......5-10 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL increasing to 11300 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (103900 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....56-60.
*    Below 7500 ft....62-67.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....47-52 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....51-56 percent.
*    24 hr trend......25-30 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........6.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the
                      afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....81-86.
*    Below 7500 ft....90-95.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....11-15 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....11-15 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......10200 ft AGL increasing to 14500 ft AGL in
                      the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....North around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (126200 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
60 to 65. Highs 87 to 92. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 64. Highs 86 to 91. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 59 to
64. Highs 89 to 94. Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ111-031815-
 Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
352 AM MDT Wed Jul 3 2024

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then
                      chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....90-95.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........29-34 percent.
*    24 hr trend......4-7 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 7 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL increasing to 8200 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (69100 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                      partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
                      then slight chance of showers and
                      thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....68-72.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........63-68 percent.
*    24 hr trend......8-13 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3.
* Haines index........6.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the
                      afternoon.
* Max temperature.....95-100.
* Min humidity........14-19 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL increasing to 12700 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (101700 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
near 70. Highs 96 to 100. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs in the mid to upper 90s. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 98 to 103. West winds around
5 mph.

$$

NMZ112-031815-
 South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
352 AM MDT Wed Jul 3 2024

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance
                      of thunderstorms until 1200. Chance of
                      showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....91-96.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........26-30 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2-5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL increasing to 9400 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (71400 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....70-75.
*    24 hr trend......1-3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........56-61 percent.
*    24 hr trend......20-25 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 8 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3.
* Haines index........6.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                      showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
                      the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....95-100.
* Min humidity........13-18 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the north
                      in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 9 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL increasing to 14200 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....North around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (116700 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
68 to 73. Highs 93 to 98. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 92 to 97. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
near 70. Highs 96 to 101. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ113-031815-
 Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
352 AM MDT Wed Jul 3 2024

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 1200,
                      then partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight
                      chance of thunderstorms until 1200. Chance of
                      rain showers. Chance of thunderstorms after
                      1200.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....74-79.
*    Below 7500 ft....84-89.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....41-46 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....30-35 percent.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL increasing to 9100 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (81000 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....56-61.
*    Below 7500 ft....63-68.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....69-74 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....62-67 percent.
*    24 hr trend......5-10 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........5.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....78-83.
*    Below 7500 ft....89-94.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....21-26 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....13-18 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the north
                      in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......10600 ft AGL increasing to 14600 ft AGL in
                      the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (115200 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 58 to 63. Highs 78 to 83. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
56 to 61. Highs 80 to 85. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 86 to 91. West winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

TXZ055-031815-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
 El Paso County-
352 AM MDT Wed Jul 3 2024

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 1200,
                      then partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight
                      chance of thunderstorms until 1200. Chance of
                      showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....93-97.
*    24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........26-30 percent.
*    24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 8 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL increasing to 9600 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (80200 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....75-79.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........55-60 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 6 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................4.
* Haines index........3.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the morning,
                      then chance of showers and thunderstorms in
                      the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....97-102.
* Min humidity........18-20 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                      north in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 7 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................2 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL increasing to 11400 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (105400 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 70s. Highs in the mid to
upper 90s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs in the mid to upper 90s.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 98 to 102. Southwest winds around
5 mph.

$$

TXZ056-031815-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
 Hudspeth County-
352 AM MDT Wed Jul 3 2024

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers until 1200, then chance of showers
                      and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....93-98.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........25-30 percent.
*    24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL increasing to 11100 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (77300 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
                      then slight chance of showers and
                      thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....71-75.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........63-68 percent.
*    24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                      west after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 8 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3.
* Haines index........3.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the morning,
                      then chance of showers and thunderstorms in
                      the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....94-99.
* Min humidity........22-26 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the north
                      in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 8 mph.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* LAL.................2 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL increasing to 11200 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (89300 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 70 to 75. Highs 90 to 95. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 72. Highs 90 to 95. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
near 70. Highs 94 to 99. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$