Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
316
FNUS54 KEPZ 181958
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
158 PM MDT Wed Sep 18 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Dry and warm southwest flow through the rest of the week. Slight
storm chances for Lincoln National Forest Friday afternoon has
moisture moves in from the east. 20-ft speeds 10 to 15 mph each
afternoon. Very Good to Excellent smoke ventilation with transport
to the NE. Midday RH 15-25%, with higher numbers over LNF.
Pacific low crosses the Central Rockies Saturday, bringing dry
and mild weather area wide this weekend.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-191245-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
158 PM MDT Wed Sep 18 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....44-49.
* Below 7500 ft....50-55.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....59-64 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62 percent.
* 24 hr trend......21 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....71-76.
* Below 7500 ft....80-85.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....15-19 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....15-19 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL increasing to 8400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (129200 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....47-52.
* Below 7500 ft....53-58.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....44-49 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....41-46 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....71-76.
* Below 7500 ft....80-85.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....17-22 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....16-20 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 20 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL increasing to 9500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (191700 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 46 to 51. Highs 71 to 76. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 44 to 49. Highs 75 to 80. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 47 to 52. Highs 76 to 81. South winds
around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-191245-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
158 PM MDT Wed Sep 18 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....55-59.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........55-60 percent.
* 24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 20 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....87-91.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........15-17 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 20 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL increasing to 9400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (105100 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....59-63.
* Max humidity........40-45 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 20 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....87-92.
* Min humidity........15-17 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph increasing to
around 15 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL increasing to 10700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (157900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 55 to 60. Highs 81 to 86. West winds
around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower to mid 50s. Highs in the 80s.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Highs in the mid
to upper 80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-191245-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
158 PM MDT Wed Sep 18 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....59-64.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........41-46 percent.
* 24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph becoming
northwest around 5 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....89-94.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........14-18 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph increasing to
south around 15 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL increasing to 10600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (133900 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....63-68.
* Max humidity........41-46 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 15 mph becoming east
around 5 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........3.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....89-94.
* Min humidity........18-23 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 20 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL increasing to 10100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (150400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 61 to 66. Highs 84 to 89.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Highs 83 to 88.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Highs 83 to 88.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-191245-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
158 PM MDT Wed Sep 18 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....48-53.
* Below 7500 ft....53-58.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....49-54 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....43-48 percent.
* 24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 21 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....74-79.
* Below 7500 ft....83-88.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....28-33 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....20-24 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 22 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......7600 ft AGL increasing to 10800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (134900 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....51-56.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....67-72 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....72-77.
* Below 7500 ft....81-86.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....41-46 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....32-37 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 20 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......6900-8600 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....South around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (129500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 54 to 59. Highs 74 to 79. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 47 to 52. Highs 72 to 77. Northwest winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 45 to 50. Highs 73 to 78. South winds
around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-191245-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
158 PM MDT Wed Sep 18 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....65-67.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........39-44 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........3.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....92-96.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........17-19 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL increasing to 9800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (84600 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....70-72.
* Max humidity........39-44 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 20 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........3.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....92-96.
* Min humidity........20-22 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 20 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL increasing to 10000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (99900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid
80s to lower 90s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows near 60. Highs in the mid to upper 80s.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s to
lower 90s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TXZ056-191245-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
158 PM MDT Wed Sep 18 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....63-67.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........45-50 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........2.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....91-96.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........19-21 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL increasing to 11500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (101400 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....67-71.
* Max humidity........55-60 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 20 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........3.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....90-95.
* Min humidity........22-26 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 20 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......6700 ft AGL increasing to 11300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (99100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs
86 to 91. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 84 to 89. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
near 60. Highs 83 to 88. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
Dennhardt