Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
636
FNUS54 KEPZ 111734
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1134 AM MDT Mon Aug 11 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Fire weather concerns are low. Daily chances of showers and storms will
exist areawide through the week. For today, scattered showers and storms
will develop over the high terrain after 1200 with isolated to scattered
activity over the lowlands during the late afternoon and evening. Main
threats will be gusty and erratic outflow winds and localized flash flooding.
Min RH values will be between at or above 15 percent this afternoon with
high temperatures at or slightly above the seasonal average. Prevailing winds
will be SW/S at 7-12 mph. Smoke ventilation rates will be good to excellent
this afternoon.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-121230-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
1134 AM MDT Mon Aug 11 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....53-58.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....53-58 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....59-64 percent.
* 24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 23 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....79-84.
* Below 7500 ft....87-92.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....17-22 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....19-24 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......9400 ft AGL increasing to 14100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (120400 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....51-56.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....65-70 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....67-72 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....77-82.
* Below 7500 ft....85-90.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....21-26 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....22-27 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...60 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......8500 ft AGL increasing to 12200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (100600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 57 to 62. Highs 83 to 88. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms. Lows
57 to 62. Highs 81 to 86. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
56 to 61. Highs 80 to 85. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-121230-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
1134 AM MDT Mon Aug 11 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....64-68.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........63-68 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3-5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 23 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....93-98.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........17-21 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1-3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL increasing to 12700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (104600 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....63-67.
* Max humidity........67-72 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....91-95.
* Min humidity........18-22 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL increasing to 12500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (79000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 91 to 96. West winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 88 to 93. West winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 88 to 93. West winds around
5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-121230-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
1134 AM MDT Mon Aug 11 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....64-68.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........66-71 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1-3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....90-95.
* 24 hr trend......2-4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........22-27 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5-10 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL increasing to 10900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (93500 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....63-67.
* Max humidity........71-76 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....90-95.
* Min humidity........21-26 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL increasing to 12000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (88400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 91 to 96.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 90 to 95.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 89 to 94. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-121230-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
1134 AM MDT Mon Aug 11 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....48-53.
* Below 7500 ft....54-59.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....86-91 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....86-91 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5-10 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....70-75.
* Below 7500 ft....78-83.
* 24 hr trend......3-5 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....48-53 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....37-42 percent.
* 24 hr trend......10-15 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL increasing to 7700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (66400 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....49-54.
* Below 7500 ft....56-61.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....87-92 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....81-86 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
south after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....72-77.
* Below 7500 ft....81-86.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....42-47 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....30-35 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......7800 ft AGL increasing to 11700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (75400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 57 to 62. Highs 82 to 87. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 57 to 62. Highs 81 to 86. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 57 to 62. Highs 79 to 84. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-121230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
1134 AM MDT Mon Aug 11 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....70-72.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........59-64 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....93-97.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........22-24 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL increasing to 11100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (85100 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....Around 70.
* Max humidity........66-71 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....92-96.
* Min humidity........21-23 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL increasing to 12400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 5 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (65500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the lower to mid
90s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the lower to mid
90s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs in the lower to mid 90s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-121230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
1134 AM MDT Mon Aug 11 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
after midnight.
* Min temperature.....65-70.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........69-74 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....90-95.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........26-31 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL increasing to 10100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (81800 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....64-68.
* Max humidity........76-81 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....89-94.
* Min humidity........24-29 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......6700 ft AGL increasing to 12200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 5 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (57800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 90 to 95.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 90 to 95. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 88 to 93. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
$$