860
FNUS54 KEPZ 091933
FWFEPZ

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
133 PM MDT Thu Oct 9 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Low level moisture will remain in place through the period with
min RH`s in the 30s early on but by Sunday into Tuesday will be up
into the 40s to 60s. Generally dry through Friday, but precip will
start moving in early Saturday from the west and spread east by
early Sunday. Chances for rainfall will continue through at least
Tuesday with some locally heavy rainfall amounts possible leading
to flooding. The rain looks more stratiform with isolated embedded
thunderstorms, so it will be more of a moderate, prolonged rain
event.

&&

...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...

...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve   (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming    (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso   (6900 ft)

Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.



NMZ110-101315-
 Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
133 PM MDT Thu Oct 9 2025

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....47-51.
*    Below 7500 ft....53-58.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees cool.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....92-97 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....88-93 percent.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....65-70.
*    Below 7500 ft....73-78.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....45-50 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....39-44 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......4900-6800 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (64100 knot-ft).

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance
                      of rain showers through the night. Slight
                      chance of thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....49-53.
*    Below 7500 ft....54-59.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....88-93 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....82-87 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                      showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
                      the morning, then rain showers likely and
                      chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....63-68.
*    Below 7500 ft....72-77.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....54-59 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....45-50 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL increasing to 4700 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (68500 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 51 to
56. Highs 62 to 67. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 48 to 53. Highs 60 to 65. South winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 50 to 55. Highs 63 to 68. South winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

NMZ111-101315-
 Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
133 PM MDT Thu Oct 9 2025

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
* Min temperature.....60-64.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........77-82 percent.
*    24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
* Max temperature.....80-84.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........32-36 percent.
*    24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL increasing to 7600 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (129800 knot-ft).

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                      mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....61-65.
* Max humidity........71-76 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the morning,
                      then chance of showers and thunderstorms in
                      the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....79-84.
* Min humidity........37-42 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL increasing to 7100 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (78800 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Not as warm. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows near 60. Highs 69 to 74. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Highs near 70.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows near 60. Highs 72 to 77. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ112-101315-
 South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
133 PM MDT Thu Oct 9 2025

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                      partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
* Min temperature.....58-62.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........82-87 percent.
*    24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent).
* Max temperature.....78-83.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........36-41 percent.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL increasing to 6700 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (96400 knot-ft).

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent).
* Min temperature.....60-64.
* Max humidity........73-78 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the
                      afternoon.
* Max temperature.....80-85.
* Min humidity........34-39 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL increasing to 6700 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (77000 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Not as warm. Mostly cloudy with showers likely and
chance of thunderstorms. Lows near 60. Highs in the lower to mid
70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Highs
68 to 73. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Highs 73 to 78.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ113-101315-
 Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
133 PM MDT Thu Oct 9 2025

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent).
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....45-50.
*    Below 7500 ft....51-56.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....92-97 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....87-92 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 1200,
                      then mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....61-66.
*    Below 7500 ft....70-75.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....56-61 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....45-50 percent.
*    24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......5000-6500 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (49700 knot-ft).

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....45-50.
*    Below 7500 ft....51-56.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....90-95 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....88-93 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the
                      afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....63-68.
*    Below 7500 ft....72-77.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....53-58 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....43-48 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL increasing to 5400 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (87700 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 52 to 57. Highs 64 to 69. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows 48 to 53. Highs 60 to 65. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 48 to 53. Highs 63 to 68. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.

$$

TXZ055-101315-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
 El Paso County-
133 PM MDT Thu Oct 9 2025

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....63-68.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........74-79 percent.
*    24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Max temperature.....82-86.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........34-38 percent.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL increasing to 6800 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (105900 knot-ft).

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
* Min temperature.....64-66.
* Max humidity........64-69 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the
                      afternoon.
* Max temperature.....83-87.
* Min humidity........31-35 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL increasing to 9200 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (80900 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Not as warm. Mostly cloudy with showers likely and
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs in
the 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower to mid 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs near 80. Southeast winds around
5 mph.

$$

TXZ056-101315-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
 Hudspeth County-
133 PM MDT Thu Oct 9 2025

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
* Min temperature.....59-63.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........85-90 percent.
*    24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
* Max temperature.....78-83.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........40-45 percent.
*    24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL increasing to 6300 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (63500 knot-ft).

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
* Min temperature.....58-62.
* Max humidity........81-86 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                      mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....81-86.
* Min humidity........34-39 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL increasing to 8700 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (91000 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 73 to 78. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows near 60. Highs 72 to 77. East winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 60. Highs 77 to 82. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$
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