242
FNUS54 KEPZ 031151
FWFEPZ

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
551 AM MDT Thu Jul 3 2025

.DISCUSSION...
One more day with monsoonal moisture in place and and least
scattered precipitation, though the coverage will be highly
variable. Expect warmer and drier conditions with near nil
precip chances Friday through Sunday afternoon. Highs will
climb a few degrees above normal this weekend, with 100s
possible in the lower deserts. Minimum RH values will even
drop into the lower 10s across the lowlands, though overnight
recovery will still be fair to good due to recent rainfall.

Monsoon moisture will attempt to bring precip chances back to
the area as early as Sunday night, despite the upper ridge
still being parked over New Mexico. Some drier air may work
in aloft towards mid-week.

&&

...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...

...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve   (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming    (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso   (6900 ft)

Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.



NMZ110-031830-
 Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
551 AM MDT Thu Jul 3 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....68-73.
*    Below 7500 ft....77-82.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....43-48 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....38-43 percent.
*    24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* Mixing height.......5400-7300 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (82700 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....51-56.
*    Below 7500 ft....57-62.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....70-75 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....66-71 percent.
*    24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the
                      afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....75-80.
*    Below 7500 ft....83-88.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....21-26 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....19-24 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......8400 ft AGL increasing to 12100 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (140400 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 57 to 62. Highs 86 to 91. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
59 to 64. Highs 88 to 93. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
60 to 65. Highs 86 to 91. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ111-031830-
 Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
551 AM MDT Thu Jul 3 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....83-88.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........33-38 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL increasing to 9000 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (115000 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
                      then slight chance of showers and
                      thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....64-68.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........68-73 percent.
*    24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the
                      afternoon.
* Max temperature.....88-93.
* Min humidity........20-25 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......7700 ft AGL increasing to 12500 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (163800 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs
94 to 99. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 96 to 100. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
near 70. Highs 94 to 99. East winds around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ112-031830-
 South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
551 AM MDT Thu Jul 3 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....81-86.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........41-46 percent.
*    24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL increasing to 7300 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (64900 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....65-69.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........73-78 percent.
*    24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....89-94.
* Min humidity........18-23 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL increasing to 13100 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (137300 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 95 to
100. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
near 70. Highs 95 to 100. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
near 70. Highs 92 to 97. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ113-031830-
 Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
551 AM MDT Thu Jul 3 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 1200,
                      then partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                      rain showers until 1200. Chance of
                      thunderstorms. Rain showers likely after
                      1200.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....63-68.
*    Below 7500 ft....72-77.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....70-75 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....58-63 percent.
*    24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* Mixing height.......4700-5400 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Poor (33300 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                      thunderstorms and slight chance of rain
                      showers in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....50-55.
*    Below 7500 ft....57-62.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....94-99 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....89-94 percent.
*    24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....72-77.
*    Below 7500 ft....82-87.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....30-35 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....22-27 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......7600 ft AGL increasing to 11700 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (189800 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 86 to 91. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
59 to 64. Highs 83 to 88. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
57 to 62. Highs 80 to 85. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

TXZ055-031830-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
 El Paso County-
551 AM MDT Thu Jul 3 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....82-86.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........43-48 percent.
*    24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                      southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL increasing to 7200 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (57700 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....70-72.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........70-75 percent.
*    24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....91-95.
* Min humidity........21-23 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL increasing to 12500 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (145100 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs 97 to 101.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 96 to
100. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs in the lower
to mid 90s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TXZ056-031830-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
 Hudspeth County-
551 AM MDT Thu Jul 3 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 1200,
                      then partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....77-82.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........56-61 percent.
*    24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......3800-5700 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Poor (39800 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....65-69.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........89-94 percent.
*    24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....86-91.
* Min humidity........29-34 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL increasing to 11400 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (128900 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs
92 to 97. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 90 to 95. East winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 71. Highs 86 to 91. East winds around
5 mph.

$$