Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
116
FNUS54 KEPZ 121955
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
155 PM MDT Sat Jul 12 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Moisture will begin returning to the area today with min RH values
in the mid to upper teens, except for locations west of the divide
where min RH values will be a bit lower. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are expected this afternoon with strong gusty winds
the main concern. We will enter a period of increased moisture
with temperatures dropping to near or below normal with daily
shower and thunderstorm chances. Winds throughout the period will
top out around 10 to 15 MPH each afternoon outside of storms.
Venting will range from poor to fair in the Sacramento Mountains
with fair, east, ranging to excellent west toward the AZ border
for this afternoon.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-131215-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
155 PM MDT Sat Jul 12 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....53-57.
* Below 7500 ft....59-64.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....56-61 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62 percent.
* 24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Rain showers
and thunderstorms likely after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....83-88.
* Below 7500 ft....90-95.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....14-19 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....16-21 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...70 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......9000 ft AGL increasing to 14200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (139000 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely in the evening, then
slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....52-57.
* Below 7500 ft....58-63.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....72-77 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....70-75 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...70 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....76-81.
* Below 7500 ft....84-89.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....27-32 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....27-32 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...80 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7900-9500 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (65100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms. Lows 57 to
62. Highs 84 to 89. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms. Lows 57 to
62. Highs 83 to 88. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms. Lows 57 to
62. Highs 80 to 85. Light winds.
$$
NMZ111-131215-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
155 PM MDT Sat Jul 12 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Patchy blowing
dust in the evening. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening, then slight
chance of showers and thunderstorms after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....66-70.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........57-62 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely after 1200.
* Max temperature.....95-99.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........16-20 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...60 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL increasing to 12200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (108600 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of
showers and thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....64-68.
* Max humidity........66-71 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...80 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....88-93.
* Min humidity........24-28 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...60 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL increasing to 9400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (57500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 90 to 95. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 65 to 70. Highs 89 to 94. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid to upper 60s. Highs 87 to 92. Light winds.
$$
NMZ112-131215-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
155 PM MDT Sat Jul 12 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Patchy blowing
dust in the evening. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....66-70.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........68-73 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....91-96.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........23-28 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL increasing to 8600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (71400 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....64-68.
* Max humidity........74-79 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....86-91.
* Min humidity........29-34 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL increasing to 10300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (77900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 89 to 94.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 91 to 96. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 88 to 93. Light winds.
$$
NMZ113-131215-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
155 PM MDT Sat Jul 12 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....50-55.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....88-93 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....85-90 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then
chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....72-77.
* Below 7500 ft....81-86.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....45-50 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....37-42 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......5000-6300 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (47000 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....48-53.
* Below 7500 ft....55-60.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....92-97 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....90-95 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the morning,
then showers and thunderstorms likely in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....68-73.
* Below 7500 ft....77-82.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....53-58 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....42-47 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...60 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......6300-7600 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (64400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 55 to 60. Highs 79 to 84. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 57 to 62. Highs 80 to 85. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 56 to 61. Highs 77 to 82. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-131215-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
155 PM MDT Sat Jul 12 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Patchy blowing
dust in the evening. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....70-72.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........69-74 percent.
* 24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 5 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....93-97.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........25-27 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL increasing to 8200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (64100 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....67-71.
* Max humidity........72-77 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....88-92.
* Min humidity........29-33 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL increasing to 11400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (73000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the lower to mid 90s. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the lower to mid
90s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs near 90. Light winds.
$$
TXZ056-131215-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
155 PM MDT Sat Jul 12 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....65-70.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........81-86 percent.
* 24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....89-94.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........31-36 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL increasing to 7900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (62800 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....64-69.
* Max humidity........84-89 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the morning,
then chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....84-89.
* Min humidity........36-41 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL increasing to 9500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (70900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 70. Highs 86 to 91. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 87 to 92. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 84 to 89. Light winds.
$$