Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS

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658
FNUS54 KEPZ 141928
FWFEPZ

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1228 PM MST Thu Nov 14 2024

.DISCUSSION...

Elevated fire weather concerns are forecast for Friday due to
breezy southwest winds developing and low humidities. Fuels
continue to dry out west of the Rio Grande tomorrow with good to
excellent ventilation. Dry conditions linger on Saturday as winds
remain breezy. A storm system arrives on Sunday, bringing rain
and mountain snow showers to the region and plenty of moisture.
Temperatures will be above normal into Saturday, then falling to
below average next week.

&&

...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...

...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve   (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming    (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso   (6900 ft)

Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.




NMZ110-151330-
 Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
1228 PM MST Thu Nov 14 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....34-39.
*    Below 7500 ft....35-40.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....26-31 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....30-35 percent.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 28 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....54-59.
*    Below 7500 ft....60-69.
*    24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....11-13 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....9-11 percent.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 30 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL increasing to 6400 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 35 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (152900 knot-ft).

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....29-33.
*    Below 7500 ft....32-37.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....51-56 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....53-58 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 35 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....45-54.
*    Below 7500 ft....55-60.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....20-25 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....19-24 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 33 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL increasing to 6900 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (167100 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with showers likely and chance of snow
showers. Lows 30 to 35. Highs 45 to 50. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow showers. Lows
26 to 31. Highs 47 to 52. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of snow showers. Lows
23 to 28. Highs 41 to 46. West winds around 10 mph.

$$

NMZ111-151330-
 Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
1228 PM MST Thu Nov 14 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
* Min temperature.....36-41.
*    24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........32-37 percent.
*    24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 26 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....72-76.
*    24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........8-10 percent.
*    24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southeast winds around 10 mph
                      increasing to southwest around 20 mph in the
                      afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 30 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL increasing to 7000 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (152000 knot-ft).

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....36-41.
* Max humidity........44-49 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 39 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....64-69.
* Min humidity........17-22 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds around 10 mph
                      increasing to around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 39 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL increasing to 7400 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (179200 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Cooler. Partly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows 38 to 43.
Highs in the lower to mid 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower to
mid 30s. Highs in the mid to upper 50s. West winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 30. Highs in the lower to mid
50s. West winds around 10 mph.

$$

NMZ112-151330-
 South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
1228 PM MST Thu Nov 14 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent).
* Min temperature.....38-43.
*    24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........39-44 percent.
*    24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 24 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....71-76.
*    24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........9-13 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 25 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL increasing to 5800 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (112100 knot-ft).

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....41-46.
* Max humidity........33-38 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 37 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....65-70.
* Min humidity........14-18 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 37 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL increasing to 7800 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (190700 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows 42 to
47. Highs 54 to 59. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid to upper 30s. Highs 55 to
60. West winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 30s. Highs 51 to
56. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NMZ113-151330-
 Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
1228 PM MST Thu Nov 14 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....36-41.
*    Below 7500 ft....38-43.
*    24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....42-47 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....40-45 percent.
*    24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 26 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....57-62.
*    Below 7500 ft....63-70.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....14-18 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....11-15 percent.
*    24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 29 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......3900-5300 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (116500 knot-ft).

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....36-41.
*    Below 7500 ft....42-47.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....30-35 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....26-31 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 43 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....50-55.
*    Below 7500 ft....56-64.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....21-26 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....16-21 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 43 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......4400-6200 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 40 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (188400 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy. Showers and snow showers likely.
Lows 36 to 41. Highs 46 to 51. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow
showers. Lows 30 to 35. Highs 44 to 49. West winds 10 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of snow showers. Lows
26 to 31. Highs 41 to 46. West winds around 10 mph.

$$

TXZ055-151330-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
 El Paso County-
1228 PM MST Thu Nov 14 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent).
* Min temperature.....44-49.
*    24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........43-48 percent.
*    24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....74-78.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........11-13 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                      southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 23 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 5500 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (58600 knot-ft).

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....45-49.
* Max humidity........31-36 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 33 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Max temperature.....71-76.
* Min humidity........13-15 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph increasing to
                      southwest around 15 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 35 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL increasing to 8800 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (189200 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows near
50. Highs near 60. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows near 40. Highs in the mid 50s to
lower 60s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 30s. Highs in
the mid to upper 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TXZ056-151330-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
 Hudspeth County-
1228 PM MST Thu Nov 14 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent).
* Min temperature.....43-48.
*    24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........46-51 percent.
*    24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 20 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....75-80.
*    24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........13-17 percent.
*    24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 23 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL increasing to 7200 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (96500 knot-ft).

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....44-49.
* Max humidity........36-41 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 33 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming
                      partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Max temperature.....73-78.
* Min humidity........13-15 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 35 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL increasing to 11000 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (255200 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
mid to upper 40s. Highs 62 to 67. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s. Highs 54
to 59. West winds around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs 55 to 60.
West winds around 10 mph.

$$

Aronson