Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
818
FNUS54 KEPZ 021138
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
538 AM MDT Wed Jul 2 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Moisture continues to increase across the area this morning.
However, much like yesterday, limited instability will reduce
rainfall potential outside the higher terrain through most of the
day, though spotty lighter showers will be still be common,
especially east of the Rio Grande. Thunderstorm chances will
increase over the Gila later in the afternoon, then spread into
the lowlands of southwestern New Mexico this evening. Rainfall
chances will persist through Thursday, with warmer and drier
conditions arriving Friday through Sunday. Monsoon moisture
will return early next week, however.
Vent rates will be limited today in eastern areas, including the
Sacramento Mountains, but will improve over the weekend as deeper
mixing develops.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-021815-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
538 AM MDT Wed Jul 2 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 1200,
then mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight
chance of showers and thunderstorms until
1200, then chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....71-76.
* Below 7500 ft....78-83.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....38-43 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....35-40 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL increasing to 9400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (55800 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....52-56.
* Below 7500 ft....58-63.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....82-87 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....80-85 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the morning,
then showers and thunderstorms likely in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....69-74.
* Below 7500 ft....78-83.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....44-49 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....38-43 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...70 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......5900-7500 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (77900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 56 to 61. Highs 81 to 86. West winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 57 to 62. Highs 85 to 90.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 88 to 93. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-021815-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
538 AM MDT Wed Jul 2 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 1200,
then mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight
chance of thunderstorms until 1200. Slight
chance of rain showers. Slight chance of
thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....84-89.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........33-38 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL increasing to 9500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (67700 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....64-68.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........76-81 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the morning,
then showers and thunderstorms likely in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....85-90.
* Min humidity........33-38 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...60 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL increasing to 8900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (104600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 89 to 94. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs
93 to 98. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs
96 to 101. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-021815-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
538 AM MDT Wed Jul 2 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance
of thunderstorms until 1200. Slight chance of
rain showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms
after 1200.
* Max temperature.....80-85.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........42-47 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL increasing to 8100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (54500 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then chance of showers and thunderstorms
after midnight.
* Min temperature.....64-68.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........82-87 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the morning,
then showers and thunderstorms likely in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....82-87.
* Min humidity........42-47 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...60 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL increasing to 7000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (55300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 89 to 94. West
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 94 to
99. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
near 70. Highs 94 to 99. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-021815-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
538 AM MDT Wed Jul 2 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms until 1200. Chance of rain
showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....61-66.
* Below 7500 ft....70-75.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....76-81 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....60-65 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......4800-5200 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (43100 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....48-53.
* Below 7500 ft....56-61.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....96-100 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....94-99 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the morning,
then showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....65-70.
* Below 7500 ft....73-78.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....71-76 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...80 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......4500-5700 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Poor (38700 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 56 to 61. Highs 80 to 85. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 85 to 90. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
58 to 63. Highs 83 to 88. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-021815-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
538 AM MDT Wed Jul 2 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then
chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....80-84.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........47-51 percent.
* 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......4800-6400 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (47600 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....Around 70.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........83-88 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....83-87.
* Min humidity........43-47 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL increasing to 7100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 knots.
* Vent category.......Poor (39700 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs in the lower to mid 90s. West
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid
to upper 90s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid
to upper 90s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-021815-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
538 AM MDT Wed Jul 2 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....75-80.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........60-65 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......4100-5000 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Poor (36900 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....63-67.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........95-100 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the morning,
then showers and thunderstorms likely in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....77-82.
* Min humidity........60-65 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...70 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL increasing to 6100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 5 knots.
* Vent category.......Poor (28400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 85 to 90. West
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs
90 to 95. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 89 to 94.
East winds around 5 mph.
$$