Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
317
FNUS54 KEPZ 101228
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
628 AM MDT Sun Aug 10 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Fire weather concerns will be low through the forecast period.
Storm chances persist through Tuesday, favoring the mountains with
potential for strong winds, heavy downpours, and small hail. Dry
lightning is less of a concern. Storm chances lower after Tuesday.
Outside of gusty outflows, winds will be generally light. Overnight
recoveries will be good to very good through midweek. Temperatures
cool to around normal this week.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-102030-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
628 AM MDT Sun Aug 10 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....78-83.
* Below 7500 ft....84-93.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....21-25 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....19-23 percent.
* 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......11500-13100 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (118300 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....52-56.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....60-65 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....65-70 percent.
* 24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....79-84.
* Below 7500 ft....85-93.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....15-20 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....17-22 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......9000 ft AGL increasing to 13800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (156300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
56 to 61. Highs 84 to 89. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 55 to 60. Highs 83 to 88. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 56 to 61. Highs 83 to 88. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-102030-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
628 AM MDT Sun Aug 10 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....94-99.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........17-22 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL increasing to 13100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (122300 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....64-68.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........67-72 percent.
* 24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....93-98.
* Min humidity........17-22 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL increasing to 12400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (99500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs in the lower to mid 90s. West
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the 60s. Highs in the lower to mid 90s. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 91 to 96. West winds around
5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-102030-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
628 AM MDT Sun Aug 10 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....94-99.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........15-19 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......8300 ft AGL increasing to 14800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (92600 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....64-68.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........62-67 percent.
* 24 hr trend......22 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....91-96.
* Min humidity........19-24 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL increasing to 12100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (103100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 89 to 94. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Highs 89 to 94. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 91 to 96.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-102030-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
628 AM MDT Sun Aug 10 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 1200,
then mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....76-81.
* Below 7500 ft....82-90.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....27-32 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....21-26 percent.
* 24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph shifting to the
northeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......11100-13000 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (106300 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....50-55.
* Below 7500 ft....56-61.
* 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....73-78 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....71-76 percent.
* 24 hr trend......32 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....73-79.
* Below 7500 ft....80-86.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....39-44 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....35-40 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL increasing to 8600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (73600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 54 to 59. Highs 77 to 82. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 54 to 59. Highs 79 to 84. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 57 to 62. Highs 81 to 86. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-102030-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
628 AM MDT Sun Aug 10 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....96-100.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........17-19 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL increasing to 13800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (71600 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....70-72.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........59-64 percent.
* 24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....92-96.
* Min humidity........22-24 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL increasing to 11400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (59300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs in the lower to mid 90s. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs in the lower to mid 90s. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the lower to mid
90s. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-102030-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
628 AM MDT Sun Aug 10 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....94-99.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........17-21 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL increasing to 14400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (67900 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....66-70.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........60-65 percent.
* 24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
west after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....90-95.
* Min humidity........24-29 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL increasing to 11300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (68100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 89 to 94. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 89 to 94.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 90 to 95.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
Aronson