356
FOPZ13 KNHC 080842
PWSEP3

TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082025
0900 UTC FRI AUG 08 2025

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 140.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

20N 140W       34 23   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)

20N 145W       34  1  14(15)   2(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)

25N 145W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

20N 150W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

25N 150W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  16(17)  24(41)   X(41)   X(41)
25N 150W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
25N 150W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

30N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

20N 151W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

26N 159W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   X( 9)

25N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

30N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  35(36)   3(39)
30N 160W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   1(12)
30N 160W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)

35N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  24(33)
35N 160W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)
35N 160W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

40N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

30N 165W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)

35N 165W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  23(24)
35N 165W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
35N 165W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)

40N 165W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA (CPHC)