080
WTPZ22 KNHC 022059
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM LORENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122025
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
2100 UTC TUE SEP 02 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 109.0W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
4 M SEAS.... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 109.0W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 108.3W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.6N 110.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 21.8N 112.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 22.9N 113.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   5SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 24.1N 113.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   5SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 35NE  20SE  10SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  30SW  65NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 25.1N 113.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 26.2N 113.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 28.4N 111.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  60SE  40SW  30NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 29.9N 110.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 109.0W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 03/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER GALLINA/PAPIN